This thread has definitely outlived its usefullness.
Luck vs proper airmanship, stick n rudder skills vs mental state, forward thinking vs presumption, this horse has been flogged enough.

Fly thoughtful, improve/add flight skills every year, progress don’t digress, fly and enjoy your bird! If you want to take risks, thats your business, one mans risky behavior is not necessarily anothers. Just as long as your risk or presumption does not affect my health flying in the gaggle with you. We can let darwinism have its course.