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  #37  
Old January 18th 04, 02:19 AM
Gary Drescher
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"kilomii" wrote in message
m...
All this talk about stats ( and the stats them selves don't amount to a
hill of beans)


Not true. Carefully interpreted, statistics tell us a great deal about the
world.

I drove 5k to 6k miles a month that's 60k to 72k a year. At
the average for most people of 15k a year that made me 480% more likely to
be in an serious accident. Number of accidents I was involved in "0".


I'm not sure what conclusion you're trying to draw from this example.
Statistically speaking, the number of serious car accidents you'd most
likely be involved in--even at 5 times the average risk--is still closer to
zero than to one, so the statistical prediction was borne out in this case.

Keep your head, know your limits and that of the aircraft and respect the
weather and your can reduce your risk.


Yes, if you do those things, you reduce your risk below what it would be if
you didn't do those things. But you don't necessarily thereby reduce your
risk below the average risk among GA pilots.

--Gary