"Nathan Young" wrote in message
...

Last, it would be interesting to see a plot of accidents against time
for several aircraft types. I suspect that most new types have an
'impulse' of accidents when first introduced, and then level off to
some lower steady state. I suspect this for a few reasons:
Airframe/engine bugs may not be worked out (this is especially true in
homebuilts), and lack of proper training for the aircraft, plus there
will always be a number of pilots who want the latest/greatest thing,
and purchase a plane they shouldn't be flying.


I think those are all excellent points. The only thing we can really
conclude is that (1) It is too early to tell for sure what the long-term
safety record of the Cirrus will be; and (2) It is not a certainty that
Cirrus' safety improvements, including the BRS, will reduce the accident
rate. We just have to wait and see.




--------------------
Richard Kaplan, CFII

www.flyimc.com