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Old September 3rd 04, 01:30 AM
G.R. Patterson III
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Jay Honeck wrote:

Trouble with flying out is that the projected path has such a large area
of uncertainty that we cannot determine safe havens.


Let me see if I understand this:


Obviously not.

It's better to leave the aircraft in an area of near-certain impact, than it
is to fly the plane to an area of near-certain safety?


The problem is that there is no area of near-certain safety much closer to Florida
than Iowa. Maybe not there -- don't you guys get tornados this time of year?

There's no telling where that storm will hit land. Right now, it looks like it will
hit in Florida, but 'canes have been known to veer as far as NY before (or even head
back out to sea and die in mid-Atlantic). Once it hits land, there's no telling where
it will go. If it waltzes up the coast, it will stay a very strong storm and could
tear up everything between Florida and Hatteras -- maybe more. If it moves inland, it
might get several hundred miles before dropping to gale force winds. It will be
spawning tornados as far northwest as Kentucky and Ohio.

Basically, you can't run, but you *can* hide from one of these things. If you have a
strong enough hole to hide in.

George Patterson
If you want to know God's opinion of money, just look at the people
he gives it to.