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Old December 3rd 04, 11:06 PM
Matt Barrow
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"Mike Rapoport" wrote in message
ink.net...
I would say safety is a function of surviving the trip! Your last numbers
showed a fatal accident rate for aircraft 4.6 time greater than for autos

on
a per mile basis. Looking at another set of numbers for autos, the NTSB
shows a rate of 1.48 fatal accidents/100 million miles. Converting the

NTSB
data for GA to miles (assuming 125kts and 1.15 sm/nm) we get 9.46

fatals/100
million miles and as I pointed out earlier, this number understates the

risk
for light GA personal flying by a factor of two. The overwhelming

majority
of auto injuries are minor, some are not even noticed before the ambulance
chaser suggest them. If you rephrased the question including the fact

that
the flying is 12 times as likely to result in death but the auto has a
higher chance of minor injury, I doubt if anyone would consider flying to

be
safer.


"Aviation in itself is not inherently dangerous. But to an even greater
degree than the sea, it is terribly unforgiving of any carelessness,
incapacity, or neglect." -- Unknown