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faky wrote:
Analyse the industry and you will see at once the folly of the 380.
1. Many airlines are moving towards smaller jets.
2. Airlines that are operating on the older HUB model have been losing money
for many years, while smaller regeonals using the direct flight model are
making money. The direct flight model requires smaller planes.
3. Pilot pay is going down, so it is no longer a big money savings reducing
the number of pilots by flying larger planes.
4. Gas costs are going up, and will continue to rise for the next several
years. Fuel efficiency is key.

From a US perspective, you're quite correct. But the A380 isn't
geared really towards the US market.

With these factors in mind, it is at the least very risky to be putting all
of your eggs in one basket with the A380. If it does not sell like hot
cakes, Airbus is going to take a bath, and the Euro taxpayers are going to
be footing the bill.

I don't htink Airbus is doing this. They still have their fuel
efficient winners in the A318/319/320. That is what has been their big
winners and encroachment into Boeing's turf in N. America. The A380 is
going to be for those bigger, more heavily populated tourist cities
that people will fly to/from en masse. At the most, the US will
probably only see the A380 at 5 airports, and possibly another 3 - 4 in
Canada; those being New York (JFK), LAS, LAX, SFO, and ORD. With
Canada, YVR for sure, but possibly YYZ and YUL. Other than that, it's
going to be used in the Europe/Asia/Oceania/Middle East market, and
used in full.

You need to think more on the global perspective with the A380,
not just regional.

BL.
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Brad Littlejohn | Email:
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