The probability of a person having successfully made 9999
jumps surviving his 10000th jump is very different (and less)
than the probability of a person who has made no jumps,
successfully making 10000 safe jumps.



Well, I just don't see this.

Think of it this way - the =reason= the probability "adds up" (so to
speak) is that the more jumps you make, the greater the chance that you
have already died from a jump in the past. (to imagine this as a
non-silly example, suppose you did make 10,000 jumps, either
self-propelled (while alive) or tossed out of the plane on a static line
(if already dead). They toss you out (dead) as many times as necessary
to bring the total jumps to 10,000 (because the pilot is paid by the
jump and he needs the money)

Jose
--
Quantum Mechanics is like this: God =does= play dice with the universe,
except there's no God, and there's no dice. And maybe there's no universe.
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