If I haven't completely mangled this then, the probability of
surviving through TWO sequential occurrences of an event, each
occurrence of which carries a 9-in-10 probability, is:
.9 * .9 = .81
If one were to survive through these two trials and try a third
the odds of surviving all three would be:
.9 * .9 * .9 = .729
Doesn't look good for an event with a 1-in-10 chance of dying!
Have I got this sorted out?
Yep.
And you even got the part about multplying survival rates rather than
death rates (a sometimes subtle point - the sequence depends on multple
survivals, not multple deaths)
Jose
--
Quantum Mechanics is like this: God =does= play dice with the universe,
except there's no God, and there's no dice. And maybe there's no universe.
for Email, make the obvious change in the address.
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