Jay

A monday morning WAG.

Turbine (disk) blew up and destroyed enough of the wing structure that
it failed.

Fuel tank(s) in wing then dumped fuel on hot parts of turbine and
caught fire.

Wingless (one wing) fuselage impacted water and broken off wing
floated down burning until it hit the water.

Lets see if my years of experience with accidents guessed right on
this bad accident.

Big John
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On Tue, 20 Dec 2005 14:08:24 GMT, "Jay Honeck"
wrote:

My guess is that they had a loose or broken fuel line,
caught fire and the fuel vapor exploded and the fire melted
the spar enough for it to fail.

Boy, I sure hope that's "all" it was. (Who'd ever think we'd be saying that
kind of stuff?)

With everyone describing an "explosion" (which the video tends to
support) -- and Chalk's not having to do much in the way of security
screening, as a small carrier -- this could easily have been some kind of a
nut-job with a shoe bomb and a "cause".

And *then* we'd start seeing all sorts of stupid proposals for "enhanced
security" that we don't want or need.

Sad to say, a mechanical problem is the best-case scenario.