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Old July 19th 06, 10:53 PM posted to rec.aviation.piloting
Peter R.
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Default Aviation Dilemma 101 - How much trust in a 10 day forecast??

Kyle Boatright wrote:

snip
Soooo... Do I bank on the 10 day forcast being way off base, or do I bet on
the forecast, make a drastic change in plans and head to Osh at the
beginning of the week, which looks more favorable from a weather standpoint?


Regarding long term forecasts, an optimist assumes a 30% level of accuracy
and an pessimist assumes 90%. Who are you?



--
Peter