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Old July 19th 06, 11:48 PM posted to rec.aviation.piloting
Peter Duniho
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Posts: 774
Default Aviation Dilemma 101 - How much trust in a 10 day forecast??

"Kyle Boatright" wrote in message
. ..
Soooo... Do I bank on the 10 day forcast being way off base, or do I bet
on the forecast, make a drastic change in plans and head to Osh at the
beginning of the week, which looks more favorable from a weather
standpoint?


As others said, you can't even count on a 5-day forecast, never mind a
10-day.

Beyond that, all the usual GA rules apply. If you *have* to be there, you
need to allow for delays by planning to get there early. If you can afford
to cancel the trip altogether and don't want to show up too early, then plan
for an arrival at your preferred date and time.

You *might* be able to wait until the beginning of the week and base your
decision on the somewhat more usable 5-day forecast. But I refer you to my
first sentence of this post.

Pete