"Mxsmanic" wrote in message
...
Judah writes:

What, exactly, is the probability of that?

Very high.


Obviously not. The vast majority of pilots are never involved in an
accident.



And what is your source of information to have defined that probability?

It is a longstanding problem with all types of standardized tests.
They never precisely represent the skills or knowledge they are
supposed to be testing.

You pass or fail based on your ability to show the examiner that you have
mastered a set of skills. The skills tested are those that the particular
certificate authorize you to carry out.

Virtually all aircraft accident fall into two categories mechanical and
pilot error. As for the mechanical, **** breaks nothing made by man is
perfect because of this we even train to deal with mechanical failures and
usually walk away from them.

Pilot error happens when a pilot either fails to apply what they have
learned or steps outside of the envelope of skill they have mastered.
Neither of these mean there was anything wrong with the test it simply means
that humans aren't perfect and that of course includes the tests.