"Jim Yanik" wrote in message
.. .
) wrote in
om:

FAS shows probability of a fighter kill by SA-18 as somehwere between
30 and 50 percent. Not sure how that was measured. Therefore, I'd
imagine that PK on a liner taking off, is near 1. Most of them have
two engines now. Good luck gaining altitude with one out. But today on
CNN I read it's about 50/50 which sound like BS to me.

Of course that PK is for *one* SAM fired. ISTR that the Kenya attempt used
TWO missiles.

Those heat seakers don't chase high bypass engines very well.