Dan wrote in
:

On Mar 9, 2:41 pm, Bertie the Bunyip wrote:

You fly in weather -- when the hell did a "scientist" ever get it
right 50% of the time?

These days they're getting it right about 90% of the time.

My flight logs come with forecast winds for every waypoint. they are
generaly within 10degrees and 5 knots of forecast hours form when the
forecast was made.
Vis, winds, precip, are all forecast to an accuracy that would have
been thought impossible just a few years ago.


Bertie

From which source?


Can't you read? Me. I just told you. Moi, Ich, myself with my own eyes.


I've yet to see winds aloft match the forecast except when very strong
(40 Knots @ 3000) or very light.


Well, what can I tel you, must be a denier serivce you're using.

That said, I think the effect of the local topography is not factored
in or perhaps ignored (The Alleghenies).




Mine are for high alt. The wx service wont tell you the wind at the top
of every peak, that's YOUR job to extrapolate.

They could if they were so inclined, though.


Bertie