Bernardz wrote:

:In article ,
says...
: Bernardz wrote:
:
: :Say I built heaps of multiple-rocket launchers built an improved WW2, V1
: :jet to hit a city say at 200 miles and then targeted them at an US ally
: :cities.
: :
: :Aiming would be pretty trivial, most modern cities are pretty big anyway
: :and so what if a a lot miss? Its not like they cost me much anyway each
: :missile.
: :
: :My missiles shot down are a lot cheaper then the anti missiles the US
: :uses anyway.
: :
: :The make sure that this US ally is aware of your capability. That might
: :keep the US out of the conflict.
:
: You've got to build them somewhere.
:
:I presume that they would be built long before the conflict started.

So kill the factories and wait 5 years. Most of them won't work.

: They have to launch from
: somewhere. Both of those 'somewheres' can be targeted and obliterated
: in pretty short order.
:
:We could not do it in Iraq. Mobile launchers are very difficult to take
ut.

For onesy-twosy launches this is true, but that's not really what's
being talked about here, is it?

: :This strategy seems to work for the North Koreans.
:
: Well, no. What works for the North Koreans is a bunch of artillery
: and a huge army sitting poised to attack South Korea, whose capital is
: right up there by the border.
:
:Its a bit of both. In the event of a conflict the army gives the North
:Koreans time to attack Seoul by long range artillery and rocket
:launchers. Most of their artillery is short and medium range artillery
:built to hit the DMZ and the area south of it, it cannot reach Seoul.

Well, no, it's not "a bit of both" and I note that you clipped the
original statement.

:Jane's International Defense Review however states that
:
:North Korean long range artillery can deliver 1,5kT of high explosives
:in Seoul within one hour using 28,152 artillery rounds and rockets.
:
:1,5kT/hour mean 36kT/day, which is something like 2 Nagasaki-size atom
:bombs a day.
:
:http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ops/oplan-5027.htm
:
:States that "North Korea has about 500 long-range artillery tubes within
:range of Seoul...is within range of the 170mm Koksan gun and two hundred
:240mm multiple-rocket launchers...The proximity of these long-range
:systems to the Demilitarized Zone threatens all of Seoul with
:devastating attacks."
:
:Such an attack might result in a 100,000 dead in Seoul in the first day.

It's not just the dead. It obliterates the largest city in the South
and creates a lot of refugees, who then interfere with the movement of
troops north.

: IRBMs and nuclear warheads help, too.
:
:Agreed. Particularly as they maybe able to hit Japan.

They are most definitely able to hit Japan, since they've fired OVER
Japan in tests. They MAY be able to hit LA.

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