On May 10, 8:40 pm, Bill Shatzer wrote:
Ken S. Tucker wrote:
....
Hmm, I was generous enabling the 80%.
Paul you pushed to 96%...

He said "shoot-look-shoot". If you fire two 80% missiles, you've got an
94% chance of obtaining a kill.

That's not the way it works. If the 1st fails, the chances
for the 2nd is ~20%, also recall the inbound is -delta v,
followed by image=lock then +delta v to target.
Also account for multiple conventional warheads from
the same missile.

Do the math.

OK, (4/5)*(1/5) ~ 20%,

When I was a tiny punk, a Vet gave me a model of a
destroyer ship, bristling with guns, and I asked if any
thing could kill it, even airplanes, well yes.
Same thing for the Limey Lancs and Flying Fortress.

Consider 1 Me-109 vs 1 Lanc, VFRules, which do you
want to be in?
What was the name of the Marginot line?
Ken