On Thursday, September 6, 2018 at 7:44:44 AM UTC-7, 2KA wrote:
Actually, it appears to me that it is sort of the other way around. Last night I did an informal survey of accident data over the last 5 years, and it appears to me that inexperienced pilots rarely have fatal accidents. I could only find a couple that involved pilots with less than 1000 hours total time.

Instead, the themes that seem to jump out a

- Experienced or highly experienced pilots
- Older pilots (most were in their 60s or 70s)
- Perhaps somewhat limited experience in make/model

I think it is possible that overconfidence in the face of declining physical ability is a big contributor to fatal accidents.

I don't know if this would hold up to rigorous statistical analysis. For example, the NTSB reports only total time, not total glider time. Perhaps it is just a reflection of our pilot demographic. Still, it is food for thought, especially when I look in the mirror.

I'm 62 years old with 4000 hours.

Lynn Alley
"2KA"

Just received this timely notice of a Wings event in San Diego:
"Physiology of Aging for Pilots - How to Slow It Down and Fly Longer" reminder
When
Thursday, 06 September 2018
07:00 PM to 09:00 PM
(GMT-08:00) Pacific Time (US & Canada)
Where
4200 Ruffin Rd Titan Conference Room
Notes
Contact Information: Paul Kortopates 619-560-8980 Event Date/Time: Thursday, September 6, 2018, starting at 19:00 Pacific Daylight Time
From
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