On Sunday, June 23, 2019 at 9:26:43 PM UTC-6, Eric Greenwell wrote:
wrote on 6/20/2019 6:23 PM:
On Thursday, June 20, 2019 at 7:14:09 PM UTC-6, Nick Kennedy wrote:
Well whoever forecasts the weather around here has got to be fired.

Nick- Weather forecasting is a bizarre form of pseudo-science that is unreliable, unintelligible and wrong on a regular basis. Think: Astrology, but with numbers.

A very outdated opinion. For several years now, maybe even earlier and starting
with Dr Jack's Blip maps, weather forecasting has been a vast improvement over the
earlier efforts. Products like Skysight, XC skies, and Top Meteo almost guide us
to the next cloud the day before we fly. Enjoy the Renaissance, because life is
better now!

--
Eric Greenwell - Washington State, USA (change ".netto" to ".us" to email me)
- "A Guide to Self-Launching Sailplane Operation"
https://sites.google.com/site/motorg...ad-the-guide-1
- "Transponders in Sailplanes - Dec 2014a" also ADS-B, PCAS, Flarm

http://soaringsafety.org/prevention/...anes-2014A.pdf

Lots of misses at Moriarty this year with both XCSkies and SkySite. I think that maybe climate change is throwing the stability of the models off. Eight or nine years ago the NAM forecast was nearly always spot on. This year so far maybe 60-40. SkySite has been no better. It seems when a forecast is correct there is high praise, but silence when it thoroughly misses.

Mike