"John Keeney" wrote in
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"Jim Yanik" wrote in message
.. .
"Peter Glasų" pgglaso @ broadpark.no wrote in
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"Jim Yanik" skrev i melding
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) wrote in
om:
FAS shows probability of a fighter kill by SA-18 as somehwere
between 30 and 50 percent. Not sure how that was measured.
Therefore, I'd imagine that PK on a liner taking off, is near 1.
Most of them have two engines now. Good luck gaining altitude
with one out. But today on CNN I read it's about 50/50 which
sound like BS to me.
Of course that PK is for *one* SAM fired. ISTR that the Kenya
attempt used TWO missiles.
Terrorists learn as well,they might do better the next time.The
attack in Kenya was poorly carried out.The next attack will
probably against an aircraft on final approach,and at a closer
range.Or imagine the damage a small group of RPG-armed terrorist
could do if they crashed through the fence at a major airport in a
pickup truck,and started blasting away at all the aircraft in
sight.Or a few men armed with 0.50 cal. sniper rifles - readily
available in the US.The possibilities are endless.
There should be anti-vehicle ditches(filled with gators! 8-) ) around
every
airport.
Hitting a passenger jet with a .50BMG (single shot or semi-auto,10
round magazine)will not be easy,and will have little effect,as
hitting something critical is unlikely.Probably go in one side and
out the other,very little damage.
Aim for the cockpit from along the flight path: high probability of
escape if the plane doesn't fall on you and if it does, well, a plane
load of tourist seems worth dyeing for to a lot of jihadist.
You may be right about the antivehical ditch, not so sure about
the gators.
Gators was an attempt at humor,but even normally brave people shy away at
the thought of being a gator's dinner.
But the chance of hitting something critical still is very small,and the
frontal area of an airplane is still pretty small and a moving target.
Still not an easy task.
--
Jim Yanik,NRA member
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