"Denny" wrote in message
ups.com...
Consensus is a 10% chance of future oil at $20,
also a 10% chance of $100.
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The chance of $20 oil is zero...
The chance of $100 oil is greater than 10%
The consensus is wrong...
Listening to experts is worthless...
If experts were truly 'experts' then every stock broker would be a
billionaire... Is your stock broker a billionaire?

OPEC is realizing that if they push the price too high, they'll "screw the
pooch".