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Old May 26th 04, 02:22 AM
Howard Berkowitz
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In article , Ed Rasimus
wrote:

On Tue, 25 May 2004 20:57:07 GMT, Robey Price
wrote:

After an exhausting session with Victoria's Secret Police, Ed Rasimus
confessed the following:

Did we notice that the Berg beheading in Iraq was conducted by
Al-Zawhari, an Al-Qeada leader? No link to AQ and Iraq???


Uhhh, Ed there are reports that the presence of AQ is
post-invasion/occupation. That's if you believe folks like Karen
Kwiatkowski LtCol USAF (Ret). Nobody disputes AQ is now in Iraq, but
there is a wide credibility gap connecting AQ and Iraq pre-invasion.


That doesn't stand the "common sense" test. If there were no linkages
and AQ was not welcome in Saddam's Iraq, why would it be attractive to
come rushing into the potentially hazardous environment post conflict?
"Oh boy, the friendly regime is gone, I'd better buy a ticket to go
there and get my ass kicked...."?


Consider also that confused situations are good times to insert
clandestine operators


Or, the discovery last week of a 155mm shell with 3 LITERS of Sarin?
How much WMD does it take to make WMD? Got any estimate of what 3
liters of Sarin would do in downtown Manhattan?


Probably contaminate a couple of blocks, or more fatalities if
_efficiently_ introduced in a ventilation system.

Or, how big that is?
How many needles can you hide in a haystack the size of California. We
found one so far.




"Vast stockpiles" of WMD don't require lots of space.


Not trivial, though. The US Office of Technology Assessment defines 100
tons as militarily significant.
http://www.wws.princeton.edu/cgi-bin...1/1993/9344/93
4404.PDF

Of course, an individual terror attack does not need that much, but to
cause mass casualties, it needs to be disseminated efficiently -- not a
trivial process. Aum Shinyo's crude dispersion caused a minimum of
casualties, including two workers who physically handled the sarin bags.

Biological agents take smaller volumes, but, again the quantity needed
for mass casualties may be larger than expected. From open literature
sources, US munitions variously were spray tanks of seeral hundred
gallons, or cluster bombs,.

As noted, 3
liters of Sarin in a package the size of a half-gallon of milk and a
loaf of bread. How far can you disperse 200 such packages in a country
the size of Iraq. Why didn't Saddam use them? Maybe he felt it wasn't
worth it? Maybe he didn't get the chance? Maybe he had a CCC/I
breakdown and subordinates refused? Who knows.