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Old December 3rd 03, 04:27 PM
Chad Irby
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In article ,
"Adrian" wrote:

"Scott Ferrin" wrote in message


In my opinion selling them top of the line stuff is the height of
stupidity. It doesn't take a brain surgeon to figure out what the
situation is going to be with China and the West in ten to fifteen
years.


Please explain. I see no conflict coming.


China has a lot of "issues" of the type that usually leads to war in one
way or another.

They're on the edge of running out of oil, and don't have a strong
enough economy in most other respects to let them buy enough for their
near-future needs. There are, however, areas in their vicinity (Siberia
and Malaysia for example) that have oil.

They have population imbalance problems, with far too many young men
(due to their terrible laws about family size).

The Chinese government, despite the perceptions of some, is fairly
nasty, and the Taiwan situation alone could make things go very bad,
very fast.

It wouldn't take much for a single event to push China over the edge. A
major earthquake at the Three Gorges Dam after it's filled up, for
example. In one stroke, they would lose much of their future electrical
generation *and* a lot of their crops and industrial production for a
year or two.

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