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Old October 14th 11, 05:44 PM posted to rec.aviation.soaring
David Reitter
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Posts: 78
Default More accurate statistics?

On Oct 14, 10:43*am, wrote:
Interesting idea based on assumption that active pilots fly XC and log
their flights to OLC.


I don't think that was an assumption. Ramy did not propose to compare
the known fatalities overall to the numbers on OLC, but to look at OLC
total pilots vs. OLC total accident pilots. That's sensible when you
want to evaluate the risk of "the kind of flying OLC pilots do".

The remaining problem is that fatal accidents are still rare enough to
produce low numbers, so the derived level of "risk involved in XC
flying" may be sobering, but not all that informative. More helpful
statistics than these actuarial ones would include specific risk
factors, and OLC won't give you any of that.