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Old March 29th 20, 02:50 PM posted to rec.aviation.soaring
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Default Soaring already DOA for the season???

A more tempered, but plausible, opinion from the WSJ that’s worth a read


https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/n...rate?_amp=true


Thanks for a link that is open.

I find the article's numbers plausible, but take issue with the conclusion.

The published death rate was 0.3% to 3% of confirmed cases depending on available health care. These guys point out that there are lots (maybe 10x?) of unconfirmed cases so the overall rate is .06%. So maybe loosening restrictions makes economic sense.

Judging by how delayed restrictions worked out for health care systems in other countries, seems like a bad plan. Especially for old guys and health care workers.

10x more victims every 8 days is a target rich environment for the virus. These ratios apply no matter if the state had few or many cases.

This doesn't have to mean draconian measures, but you have to think. Kids in NYC are still collecting in playgrounds. I saw somebody walking their dog in HD yesterday. Masks are not the norm. Folks need to act as if everybody has the virus so few will. It feels like the reverse.