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#1
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Who do you all think will be the first to come out with a new certified
single-engine, six-place composite (non-aluminium) airframe? Given Cirrus' success, all the manufacturers are undoubtedly thinking about this. Any bets on the Beechcraft-Cessna-Piper trio before Cirrus and Diamond? |
#2
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Marco,
Who do you all think will be the first to come out with a new certified single-engine, six-place composite (non-aluminium) airframe? [...] Does the Epic LT from www.epicaircraft.com qualify? Best regards Kai Glaesner |
#3
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Marco,
Diamond D-Jet? You said single-engine g, but I think it only has five seats. The Grob Ranger is in that league, too, albeit with a turboprop. And then there's the Extra 400 - or is there? -- Thomas Borchert (EDDH) |
#4
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![]() Marco Leon (at) wrote: Who do you all think will be the first to come out with a new certified single-engine, six-place composite (non-aluminium) airframe? Given Cirrus' success, all the manufacturers are undoubtedly thinking about this. Any bets on the Beechcraft-Cessna-Piper trio before Cirrus and Diamond? At a wild guess I'd say Extra, since they already have one ![]() http://www.extraaircraft.com/ea400.asp http://www.anft.net/f-14/extra400.htm -- Allen |
#5
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I guess I was thinking about piston single engine composites. Will the
210,Saratoga and Bonanza be the last six-place pistons out there? It seems to be a great way for one of these guys to break into the composite market if they have the stomach for the cost and risk. Otherwise, what's their next move? Marco Leon wrote in message ups.com... Marco Leon (at) wrote: Who do you all think will be the first to come out with a new certified single-engine, six-place composite (non-aluminium) airframe? Given Cirrus' success, all the manufacturers are undoubtedly thinking about this. Any bets on the Beechcraft-Cessna-Piper trio before Cirrus and Diamond? At a wild guess I'd say Extra, since they already have one ![]() http://www.extraaircraft.com/ea400.asp http://www.anft.net/f-14/extra400.htm -- Allen |
#6
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![]() Based on a Comanche... http://www.ravinaircraft.com/ On Fri, 21 Jan 2005 10:25:44 -0500, Marco Leon mmleon(at)yahoo.com wrote: Who do you all think will be the first to come out with a new certified single-engine, six-place composite (non-aluminium) airframe? Given Cirrus' success, all the manufacturers are undoubtedly thinking about this. Any bets on the Beechcraft-Cessna-Piper trio before Cirrus and Diamond? -- Using Opera's revolutionary e-mail client: http://www.opera.com/m2/ |
#7
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![]() "Marco Leon" wrote: Who do you all think will be the first to come out with a new certified single-engine, six-place composite (non-aluminium) airframe? Given Cirrus' success, all the manufacturers are undoubtedly thinking about this. Any bets on the Beechcraft-Cessna-Piper trio before Cirrus and Diamond? Don't bet on Beechcraft-Cessna-Piper to make any kind of stab at certifying a new light SE airplane. Beechcraft is playing out the Bonanza/Baron string, seeing just how high they can price them and still sell enough to keep production going. Guys like me who have always lusted for a Bo' are aging Baby Boomers, there's no one new coming along that cares enough about the brand to spend $800K on a SE piston airplane. Raytheon will shut it down when that market fizzles out. Piper is a walking corpse à la Mooney, perpetually being revived in the bankruptcy courts. The idea that they could attract enough development capital for a new design and certification process is pure fantasy. Cessna would be a very long shot. Enough alternatives to the 172 are coming along that the natural-progression pipeline to 182s and 206s will dry up. Cessna will either have to come up with something new or face increasing loss of market share to modern designs. Oshkosh rumors notwithstanding, there doesn't seem to be anything serious going on at Cessna WRT a new SE airplane. These companies have missed the modern light aircraft boat; it sailed away with Cirrus and Diamond aboard, pulling Lancair behind in an innertube. -- Dan C-172RG at BFM |
#8
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"Marco Leon" mmleon(at)yahoo.com wrote in message
... I guess I was thinking about piston single engine composites. The Extra 400 *is* a piston single engine composite. |
#9
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![]() "Dan Luke" wrote in message ... "Marco Leon" wrote: Who do you all think will be the first to come out with a new certified single-engine, six-place composite (non-aluminium) airframe? Given Cirrus' success, all the manufacturers are undoubtedly thinking about this. Any bets on the Beechcraft-Cessna-Piper trio before Cirrus and Diamond? Don't bet on Beechcraft-Cessna-Piper to make any kind of stab at certifying a new light SE airplane. Beechcraft is playing out the Bonanza/Baron string, seeing just how high they can price them and still sell enough to keep production going. Guys like me who have always lusted for a Bo' are aging Baby Boomers, there's no one new coming along that cares enough about the brand to spend $800K on a SE piston airplane. Raytheon will shut it down when that market fizzles out. Piper is a walking corpse à la Mooney, perpetually being revived in the bankruptcy courts. The idea that they could attract enough development capital for a new design and certification process is pure fantasy. Cessna would be a very long shot. Enough alternatives to the 172 are coming along that the natural-progression pipeline to 182s and 206s will dry up. Cessna will either have to come up with something new or face increasing loss of market share to modern designs. Oshkosh rumors notwithstanding, there doesn't seem to be anything serious going on at Cessna WRT a new SE airplane. These companies have missed the modern light aircraft boat; it sailed away with Cirrus and Diamond aboard, pulling Lancair behind in an innertube. -- Dan C-172RG at BFM Dan I believe your right. They should be able to build and sell an A36 for 150,000 depending on avionics. There really is not that much to an airplane. I may be missing something like the cost of the insurance, but there just isn't that much to a single engine plane. |
#10
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"aluckyguess" wrote in message
... They should be able to build and sell an A36 for 150,000 depending on avionics. There really is not that much to an airplane. I may be missing something like the cost of the insurance, but there just isn't that much to a single engine plane. Of course there is. Airplanes aren't produced in large enough quantities to take advantage of modern automated mass-production techniques; they are essentially hand built. And of course there are all the costs associated with complying with regulatory requirements. Just because the cost of materials is relatively low, that doesn't mean it doesn't cost a lot to produce an airplane. I think it highly unlikely that, given the large number of aircraft manufacturers, that they are all colluding on the price. And that's the only way to explain how prices are so high if your assertion about what they *should* cost is correct. In any case, I think you entirely misunderstood Dan's point. The manufacturers he cites as positive examples aren't selling aircraft any cheaper than the negative examples he gives. Pete |
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