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#9
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Dude wrote:
... I believe Cessna simply will not do what it takes to win in this business because it has become too risk averse. It may survive, but I don't see it thriving. Strangely, its the same attitudes that kept them in business all this time, that may now be their downfall. Until the recent entries of new players, Cessna was king. Cirrus has done well, and much of it is due to the passion of the founders. I may be mistaken, but I believe that the investors are likewise passionate. They are not presently trading the stock on an exchange, are they? If not, then the company is still reasonably closely held. .... We can't look at Cessna single production as a financial entity by itself. The profit is in the jets, the singles are likely a division of a corporation which is a subsidiary of the big parent company. Money is no controlling factor. If they want a full product line, then 172/182s make sense, and some auto mfrs lose money on each compact they sell. Cirrus doesn't enjoy that luxury, and capital is from private investors and lenders. The recent infusion of $100 million was mostly to pay debts, and a recent local news article hints they still have liquidity problems. So if Cirrus is still losing money, as quite possible, it really matters. If Cessna loses on a 172 (bet in most years not), it's just like a Dodge Neon in a full product line. Cessna may not even view themselves in substantial competition with Cirrus. Beyond flight schools, there may be a significant number of buyers loyal to the high-wing brand and/or those who think a plastic airplane is just wrong. Marketing strategy is a matter of judgment in what they may view as a niche market. Are flight schools buying SR-20s much at all? Fred F. |
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