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#11
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![]() The mistake a lot of the people in this thread seem to be making is that zeroing in on the flight test and trying to use the results of the flight test to establish an ACTUAL quality level for the pilot at that point in time doesn't equate. All the flight test does is establish that the pilot being tested has met a MINIMUM STANDARD. Correct as stated, but it is not unreasonable to make statistical inferences. For example, assuming any reasonable (such as gaussian) distribution of pilot abilities at flight check time, a higher =average= pilot quality will translate into more passes and fewer fails. Assuming a similar distribution among pilots who take accelerated vs standard training, the set of pilots with the highest level of fails is likely to have a lower mean than the set of pilots with the lowest level of fails. I do grant that (and this is what I think you are getting at) one can correctly infer nothing about the shape of the pilot distribution from the pass/fail ratio, and even that given a distribution (such as gaussian) one can correctly infer nothing about the sharpness of the peak from the pass/fail ratio, nor about the ability of any individual pilot from his pass/fail result. But that is not necessary to address the underlying issue. Jose -- (for Email, make the obvious changes in my address) |
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