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On Thu, 24 Jun 2004 01:06:23 -0400, Matt Whiting
wrote: No, I didn't miss it and I doubt the others did either. The comparison was time delta of the first GOVERNMENT sponsored flight of a spacecraft to the first private one. If the same timescale was applied to conventional airplanes, you would be comparing the first GOVERNMENT sponsored flight of a conventional airplane to the first private one. Backing 40 years off of 1943 yields 1903, which is NOT when the first GOVERNMENT sponsored airplane flew successfully, so the comparison is completely invalid. The purpose of the comparison was merely to illustrate the time spans involved, not to try to contrast the difference between government vs. private efforts. A less controversial comparison would have been along the lines of "...it was as if no else other than the Wright brothers had been technically capable of building an airplane until 1943." Rutan's achievement is tremendous, but let's not forget, he's standing on the shoulders of giants. SpaceShipOne's success is due to Rutan's brilliant combining of today's cutting-edge technology. He probably has more computing power on his desktop than NASA had in 1960. There wasn't any wind-tunnel testing done on SpaceShipOne; it was all done on a computer. Yet, barely ten years ago, the first flight of an improved launch vehicle failed because the aerodynamic models used weren't accurate enough. That company trusted the computer model and didn't do any wind tunnel testing. The launch vehicle and satellite end up in the drink. Oops. Burt Rutan was fully aware of this instance...after all, his company built part of that rocket's structure (which was in *no* way involved in the failure). Yet, in ten short years, modeling capabilities have improved to the point where he felt confident in risking a manned flight on computational data only. Rutan did one heck of a job, but some folks in this newsgroup have used it as an excuse to sneer at the people who developed some of the technologies that made it possible. If suborbital space flight was so doggone easy, the first private space launch would have been four years after the X-15, not forty. Ron Wanttaja |
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