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Jim,
Please don't reply in such a way as to make it appear that I said something that I did not. It was Matt Whiting that made the comment about losing all engines on a twin being more likely than losing all four. I didn't say that, and I know that is not true. Dean wrote in message ... In rec.aviation.owning Dean Wilkinson wrote: True, but the probability of losing all of the engines at the same time is greater with only two engines as opposed to four. Matt Not necessarily... There has never been a historical case of a twin engine jetliner losing both engines at once due to unrelated failures. All twin engine failures have been due to a common cause; fuel starvation being the prime reason. Here are some examples of related engine failures: A four engine 747 had all four engines flame out at the same time when it flew into the ash cloud of Mt. Redoubt in Alaska, and only managed to restart three of them after losing over 10,000 feet of altitude. A four engine Airbus A340 made a dead-stick landing at Lajes in the Azores after running of fuel due to a combination fuel leak and fuel system management problem. A 767 (twin) made an emergency landing in Canada on a drag strip after losing both engines due to a miscalculation during fueling. The probability of an ETOPS plane losing both engines in a single flight due to unrelated failures is extremely remote. That doesn't mean it can never happen, but it is less likely than winning the lottery. Not quite; the probability of all engines failing decreases with the number of engines if all engines have the same probability of failing. Whether or not this will actually happen is highly dependent on the probability of the individual engine failing. Since airline engines tend to be well maintained, and hence the probablity of failure low, one could reasonably say the chances of multiple engine failures (no common cause) is quite remote. However, a friend of mine that spent lots of time in B-52s relates the tale of the time they lost 3 engines (no common cause) during flight and a fourth engine on final getting "that big piece of crap" back on the ground. -- Jim Pennino Remove -spam-sux to reply. |
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