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![]() "Bob Fry" wrote in message ... "Mike Rapoport" writes: So the bottom line here is that the accident rate for personal flying is about twice the figure that pilots like to start with! OK, let's say that's true. You still don't address our basic premise, which is that 1. A large fraction of the total Personal Flying accident rate is composed of pilot-controllable causes: flying into marginal weather, buzzing, etc. 2. The poster's hubby, if he's a careful fellow, can reduce that fraction of accidents and thus be pretty safe--perhaps approaching ground vehicle safety, perhaps not, but certainly reducing his personal accident rate below the average rate, whatever it is. I still would say that one's personal flying accident rate is probably going to be higher than one's personal driving accident rate, but it need not conform to average statistical rates, because flying accidents are more preventable than driving accidents. OK thats fair, I never objected that pilots don't have some control over the risk. I object to the notion that they can reduce their accident risk by 90% or so and I object to the practice of using numbers that have much safer flying included. The reality is that a *lot* of fatal personal flying accidents are not marginal weather or stupid pilot tricks. Only 13% of fatal accidents are attributed to weather and presumably VFR into IMC is only a portion of this. Mechanical/maitenance is 14% and we an not talking about lack of maitenance we are talking about maitenance errors. Only 6% of the 70% pilot related accidents are attributed to fuel mis-management. There are a *lot* of accidents that aren't avoided by prudence. We might as well accept that. Mike MU-2 |
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