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"Wizard of Draws" wrote in
message news:C0CD8176.7FC43%jeffbREMOVETHIS@REMOVEALSOwiza rdofdraws.com... Today's flight put me over 300 hours total time without bending anything. Someone here once wrote that that was a statistical milestone with regards to accidents. Is that true? No, not as far as anyone has shown. The legend seems to originate with Paul Craig's book The Killing Zone, which says that most fatalities strike pilots between 50 and 350 flight hours. The problem, though, is that the book makes no attempt to normalize by the number of flight hours per year flown by pilots with various levels of experience. So for all the book really shows, pilots in the "killing zone" may be less safe, more safe, or just as safe (in terms of fatality rate per flight hour) than pilots at other levels of experience. (Several of the book's reader reviews at amazon.com point out this elementary statistical error.) Congratulations on your milestone though! --Gary |
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