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  #10  
Old April 12th 07, 03:17 PM posted to rec.aviation.piloting
Ron Garret
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Posts: 199
Default uh-oh...

In article ,
"Dan Luke" wrote:

http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/N10403256.htm


From the article:

"From 2002 through 2005, general aviation accounted for an annual
average of 1,685 crashes and 583 deaths, making up 91 percent of all
U.S. aviation crashes and 94 percent of all aviation deaths, the
researchers said."

That seems improbable to me. It would imply that there were an average
of 166 commercial aviation crashes per year, or one every other day. It
would also imply an average of 37 deaths per year from commercial
aviation, or an average of 0.22 deaths per crash for a commercial
accident, versus an average of 0.34 deaths per crash for GA. Given that
the average commercial aircraft probably has dozens of times more
passengers than the average GA aircraft, it seems improbable that the
death rate per crash should be lower. It seems to me that at least one
of those numbers has to be wrong, which renders them all suspect.

rg
 




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