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A large high pressure aloft (500mb) is expanding over the SW U.S.
This typically causes high temperatures (in this case near record max high temps), a suppressed marine layer and excellent soaring weather to the Mojave Desert, Owens Valley and Western NV. On Wed 07/04/07, the 500mb center will be near Northern AZ and Southern UT bringing light S-SE flow aloft into the Sierras and Mojave Desert. It is too early in the season for large amounts of monsoon moisture and thunderstorms. However, high based CU (18,000 to 21,000) will be common with a few thunderstorms producing little or no significant precip in the High Sierra, Northern Owens Valley and Western NV. Early trigger times should occur in the Western Mojave Desert and nearby mountains (say 10-11am local). Little or no "washout" from SW stabilizing winds in the late afternoons into the Western Mojave Deserts. 1000km flights are a definite possibility... with the best days on Wed and Thur 07/04 and 07/05. With the 500mb high center over Southern UT, trigger times there will probably be greatly delayed from normal. Although afternoon max thermal heights should also reach 18,000msl. A slight downturn in soaring weather will occur on Fri and Sat as a minor trough brings more of a SW light to moderate flow across the Central and Northern Sierras. Good lucks with you flights ... Walt Rogers Discus 2A, WX |
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