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On Sun, 21 Oct 2007 19:22:54 -0600, C J Campbell
wrote: On 2007-10-14 00:39:27 -0600, said: Of course, those who still live out in the sticks will need some other way to get around. This will be the rail lines, just like in the old days, or they will fly, as God intended. New airports will spring up like flowers after a rain. Flight instructors will be busy. The little planes will no longer bother anybody because everyone will realize they are necessary. Aircraft manufacturers will finally have the incentive to innovate and produce airplanes in reasonable numbers. If by little planes you mean 4 seaters and such, then I doubt that they will ever become reliable means of private transport like the car. Even with an instrument rating it would require a high level of They could with the work NASA is doing, BUT *affordable* is a horse of a different color. skill, confidence and time commitment on part of the pilot to use a little airplane regularly for commuting. Besides, no matter how many airports spring up, there still remains the problem of getting from the airport to the work place and back. It would be possible even with today's technology to build an airplane that could be programmed, or automated to fly from point A to B and far easier than with cars. The resulting aircraft would, or could require far less skill than required of today's pilots. The most difficult to implement and expensive parts lie at each end of the trip as well as with traffic control. OTOH like anything that says "airplane" on it, I don't see it becoming economical. If more and more employers and employees work together to find ways to work remotely from home, it would reduce automobile usage to an extent. The question is how many could routinely do this and to what extent would it reduce automobile usage? When you get right down to it, only a small percent of the work force can work from home. Even office and data management work can not all be done from home. Yes, a lot of communications can take place via the Internet/electronically, but there still needs to be a face-to-face interaction between workers as well as workers and management. I used to do a bit more than half my work from home. (Sys admin, Developmental Analyst, and finally project manager) HOWEVER that didn't result in less driving. I spent less time at the plants and corporate headquarters, but I still had to be there nearly every day. I had to be there often enough they owed me over 90 days of vacation when I retired. Nevertheless, NASA is committed to developing the advanced technology to make flying an airplane as easy and safe as driving a car, if not more so. Modern glass panel avionics are one part of that. The Adam is based on the ideas developed in this program. It is going to happen -- if GA manages to survive until then. I have no doubt they can do it. It could be done with today's technology, but I have my doubts that it can be made practical and economical. Roger (K8RI) |
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