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Frode Hansen wrote:
Ogden Johnson III wrote: [snips] [Why do I suspect that the statement isn't supported by a footnoted/endnoted citation?] You just gave me the answer actually, as the footnote included an URL to an article. So I can answer it myself: (The quoted article I questioned can be found on p 25 in Naval War College Review Vol 59 no 4, autumn 2006, also available he http://www.nwc.navy.mil/press/review...s/NWCRAU06.pdf ) Source quoted for the paragraph mentioned is an article by Sandra Erwin in National Defense Magazine oct 2000: http://www.nationaldefensemagazine.o.../Navy_Aims.htm There the sentence reads: ...."In 1954, said Dirren, the Navy lost 776 airplanes, an average of two a day. But even though fewer planes are lost in accidents today, the cost of naval aircraft has gone up so much that the financial implications of mishaps are more significant than ever, he explained. “We lost 22 in 1999. But those 22 airplanes were worth 10 times what the 776 airplanes were worth in 1954,” he said. The A4 Skyhawks were $240,000 a copy. Today’s premier naval fighter-bomber, the F/A-18E/F, costs $57 million. Back in those days, said Dirren, such high rates of mishaps were acceptable and viewed as “the cost of doing business.”.... The "master jet aviation"-bit seems to be added by Erickson/Wilson to illustrate the difficulties of carrier operations. Anyway, I have to assume these are correct numbers. OK, they observed good practice in footnoting. They also engaged in bad writing, and possibly thinking. Their statement you quoted said 800 airplanes, jets, lost in carrier operations. Their footnoted statement said that the Navy lost 776 airplanes. Absent any breakdown, one has to presume that the 776 figure includes aircraft of all types, jet and prop, lost in all phases of Navy flight operations, land-based and carrier-based. I don't have time to research this, but assuming, for ease of calculation, for 1954 a breakdown of prop vs jet of 50/50, and an operational breakdown of 50/50 land-based/carrier-based, the 776 is reduced to 338 jets, and further to 194 carrier-based jets. Left uncalculated is the number of mishaps in take-off/landing operations, which would be where "carrier operations" makes a real difference, and enroute travel, simulated air-to-air combat, simulated air-to-ground, etc. operations, in which carrier based vs land based makes no difference. Fixating on a target and flying too low to recover from your dive is no different vis-a-vis the type of aircraft you are flying or where you started your flight and intended to end your flight. It still kills you and breaks the aircraft. It was a stretch to convert that to 'In 1954 alone, in working to master jet aviation off carriers, the U.S. Navy lost nearly eight hundred aircraft' Misleading at best, outright fudging the numbers to support your postulation at worst. -- OJ III |
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