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On Jan 9, 12:44 pm, Bertie the Bunyip wrote:
wrote : On Jan 8, 9:08 am, Bertie the Bunyip wrote: Gig601XLBuilder wrote : Bertie the Bunyip wrote: Gig601XLBuilder wrote in : Bertie the Bunyip wrote: the temp change is almost irrelevant in itself. It;s the Wx changes that it's going to produce that are the problem. Also you're going to have to replace florida. Bertie Well they can't tell me what the weathers going to be with anything close to certainty next month why the hell should I believe them when they say what it will be 10, 20 or 50 years down the road? Actually, forecasting has become incredibly accurate in the last twenty years and is getting better all the time, short term certainly. I never cease to be amazed at how accurate winds aloft are, for the most part, and terminal forecasting is probably ten times more accurate than it was even ten or fifteen years ago. As to the predictions they're making long term, so far the trend seems to be accurate. More wind, more storms. record highs and lows.. As for Florida, I can live with that. Mmm me too. Shame about the everglades, though. Bertie Come on Bertie, they said this was going to be a dry winter in the Western US. Hasn't been the case. Both of the last two years they have said would be the worst Hurricane seasons on record. Both years they were wrong. If they keep saying that every year sooner or later they are going to be right. OK, point taken. Of course if the Wx is chaging dramatically, then extremes will become more common and they'll be worknig with an ever more unfamiliar model. I'm looking at a very fierce gale at the moment.and we've lost more trees this year than we have in all the years I've lived at this place. Bertie The really interesting deal with the Wx is insurance and floods...if everyone in the country (seen the Midwest recently?) is subject to flooding and is required to purchase flood insurance that will be another bit of money out of circulation or do with out and then depend upon the largess of strangers to help you rebuild. Either way the economy takes a hit. People seem to think that agencies like FEMA somehow appear out of thin air and don't realize that they are part of 'we the people'. s Sorry, I don't follow. You mnean the money going towards insurance is money that is not spent elswhere on a more economically stimulating area? IOW it doesn't produce? Money to me is something for throwing off the back of trains according to mrs bunyip. Bertie If the floodplains as defined by the USGS continue to expand (as they have here, suddenly I'm in a flood plain!) insurance will be hard to come by and/or more expensive. Most folks think of premiums as money 'thrown off the back of a train' in any case...until they need it. Mudslides, tornadoes, floods...think of GW (bush too) as Spring x2 (to start). Picture the effect on the economy when what little discretionary income folks have left after making the minimums to MC and Visa goes toward food because the weather patterns have changed and/or the land is being used for ethanol production snort. Folks will riot not because they can't afford gas for their SUVs, they'll riot because they can't afford cable to numb their brains. It will be an interesting time for sure. |
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