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The Raven wrote:
"Thomas Schoene" wrote in message hlink.net... The Raven wrote: "Scott Ferrin" wrote in message ... How do you figure it would be at a lower cost when Boeing would be footing the entire developement bill *and* they'd be sold in fewer numbers than the F-35? I'm speculating that it could be cheaper once you drop certain JSF requirements that aren't in high demand by other global military forces. VTOL is one, sure people may desire it but few can justify it on cost and practicality. Let's imagine you could drive the development costs down for a non-VSTOL single-configuration design. You're still talking about system complexity comaprable to Eurofighter, which is costing tens of billions of dollars to develop. Even the cheapest modern combat aircraft program, Gripen, is costing around $5-8 billion for development. And that's a very basic deasign comapred to this F-32. OK Given the very limited potential export market, Boeing could not possibly justify this cost. OK The simple fact is that overseas buyers are seldom interested in aircraft types not adopted by the US military. Sorry, I dispute that on the fact that there are plenty of military aircraft in use around the world which weren't adopted by the US military. Yes, the US military may be the largest buyer and thus have an influence on other buyers etc but to claim that people seldom buy equipment not adopted by the US military is false. I left out a word here, so let me clarify. There is a lot of reluctance to buy warplanes not in service with the builder's own national miliary. No one wants to buy a *US-built* fighter not in service with the US military. Nor do they want a European plane not flying with a European air force first. And so forth. For examples, see the F-20 and F-18L. OK, that's two. Well, for a counterexample, find me any example of a successful export of a fighter aircraft post WW2 where some version of the same aircraft was not in service with the building country's own armed forces. AFAIK, the only one that even comes close is the F-5, which was never an operational fighter for the USAF. But it was designed in an era when front-line US hardware was not available to many buyers. This is a real problem area. Boeing cannot freely market stealth technology. [snip] Ahh, an this was alluded to in my original posts but no-one responded to it. The US government would not allow Boeing to go ahead, assuming they wanted to, so as to retain control of technology and resulting capabilities that could affect US interests. Well of course. Strictly speaking, the government can't prevent Boeing from proceeding, it can just prohibit Boenig from using certain technologies on the export control list. It's a lot of technologies, though. Buying F-35 is not a requirement for industrial involvement, which.the JSF Teams have said repeatedly. Being a partner, however; is a requirement for consideration in industrial involvement. So, as long as you're a partner nation the doors are open for industrial involvement. Once industrial involvement is contractually underway it would be stupid for the JSF team to yank the rug merely because a partner nation chose not to continue beyond the SDD phase. Would you like to bet on those contracts being renewed/extended if the RAAF does not buy some F-35s? I suspect they would not be, since there will be plenty of actual F-35 buyers looking for offsets and industrial participation themselves. -- Tom Schoene Replace "invalid" with "net" to e-mail "If brave men and women never died, there would be nothing special about bravery." -- Andy Rooney (attributed) |
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