Russian losses in Chechenya for 2003

:Turkey is strongly against it, because they have problem with kurds who
:want to take part of Turkey for that kurdish state. And I think there
were
romises made that no kurdish state would be made.

And there were promises made about US forces transiting through
Turkey. One broken promise deserves another.

A huge majority of turks were against it and to everyone's surprise the
representatives voted that transit down. Usually their security council
overrides votes they don't like.

: Create a Shia state in the south. They will have oil and much farmland.
:
:Current Shiia clergy makes Iran look like a ally of USA.
:Most propably sunni muslim states wouldn't like another shiia muslim
state
:besides Iran at all.

Then you're not going to have democracy, since the overwhelming
majority of the people in that region (and in Iraq generally, if you
keep it together) are Shiia Muslim.

Democracy in Iraq is on kinda shaky ground anyways, specially after that
moderate Shiia leader died in a bombstrike.
For kurds the democracy might work and actually for sunnis too if they get
over the loss of their position as the leader of Iraq. But that is not
enough if the majority (Shiias) vote for Islamic republic.

Democracy doesn't fit for people who believe in fairy tales it seems.

:And what if the result is 1 country in conflict with Turkey, 1 country in
:conflict with all the other muslim countries besides Iran and 1 that is
just
:bitter for all the power it lost?

As opposed to some 'power sharing' balancing act like those which were
attempted in Cyprus (Greeks/Turks) and Lebanon (Christian/Moslem).
We've seen how well those work.

One way or another it isn't going to be easy.