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#13
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![]() Agreed. I wasn't putting this forward as something that is likely to happen, just what might happen if the Raptor program was terminated. Yeah, I figured as much, which is why I pointed out the big conditional "if" in your post; not sure Scott caught that. Yeah I got it. I think I was overwhelmed by the spots in front of my eyes and the onset of tunnel vision at the thought of "cancelled F-22". I just don't see how we could maintain the degree of superiority we've enjoyed without it. IT probably wouldn't be the disaster that I see it being but it's dismaying to see so many cutting edge programs cancelled and the idea of hoping the F-35 would be far superior to the latest Chinese Flankers. . .well my money wouldn't be on it. I suspect you're right that the F/A-22 will be built in limited numbers, though I woudl also not be surprised to see produciton continue after the intial batch is bought. We've bought far more F-15s than originally planned, after all. IIRC the original number for F-15s was 729 and F-16s was 1388 or thereabouts. Both were far exceeded. I think it's just going to depend on how the F-22 does in service. If they can get the kinks worked out it wouldn't surprise me if they found a way to buy more beyond the cost cap. I'm not entirely convinced about the FB-22 or other strike-optimized version. It would have to have a lot of range to justify not simply using an F-35 derivative, IMO. Again, a possible variant comes to mind: A hybrid with the F-35A fuselage and the F-35C big wing ought to yield even more range than the 700+nm radius of the C version. ISTR that being discussed here before. I'd have thought the USAF would jump on that too but I guess not. I don't know. I see the FB-22, or something similar, offering a couple of advantages; it provides a solution to the "what do we use to start replacing the Mudhen in 2015-2020" problem, and it could bring down the unit cost for a reduced F/A-22 buy as long as significant commonality remains. Just from what they've shown so far it doesn't see like there would be a significant amount. Maybe the forward fuselage. The FB-22 as they've showed around has different intakes, would use different engines, completely different wing, long weapon bays, different landing gear, etc. etc. |
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