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On Friday, January 29, 2016 at 2:31:47 PM UTC-5, Jonathan St. Cloud wrote:
I would like to see the experiment method described in detail. Below are some snipped relevant paragraphs from the most recent conspicuity study I could find online. I recall reading several others, including one that was referenced in this thread recently, but the conclusions were the same, IIRC. Speaking as a former engineer, the methodology designed and employed by Dr. Head and his associates for the important "head-on-converging" scenario seems reasonable. It's likely a worst case "no relative movement" converging tracks situation. I agree that red/orange tips and tail are pretty visible on the grid, across a thermal, looking up at the sky, or even looking down against a contrasting background. But the scenarios most of us worry about are those where two aircraft are converging at similar altitudes with little relative motion for the eye to pick up. There are variations of this, of course, involving another aircraft approaching from the side (as when several gliders converge on an already established thermal from different directions at the same level--one where I've almost been clobbered a few times) or a power plane overtaking from directly behind (another personal near miss). But the one that seems to get the most attention is head on under a cloud street (a la the Uvalde incident some years ago). The full Bicester report includes details on other trials involving simulated thermaling, mirror film, and black underside paint. I'm sure there are other ways to run these tests but this team seems to have made a competent, good-faith effort to experimentally determine the effectiveness of different types of markings/colors on glider visibility. Unlike at least one other test I've heard about, this group stopped short of saying that the Day-Glo markings made a glider less likely to be visible. So I guess there's no harm pimping your ride if it makes you feel better. But keep those eyes open. From "See and avoid?" Dr Tony Head, from the College of Aeronautics at Cranfield University, reports on the outcome of recent conspicuity research conducted at Bicester (from "Sailplane & Gliding", Aug-Sep 2003) http://uvs-international.org/phocado...sep%202003.pdf Trial Four: Air Cadets' DayGloİ pattern during constant-bearing converging paths The randomisation and the direction of runs was as for Trial One and Figure 1 (p29). Weather was excellent with scattered cloud and visibility in excess of 25km. [excerpt follows from p29 describing Trial 1 methodology] Crews flew toward a central point at 2,000ft AGL and 70kts ground speed (as indicated by GPS). Each pair of crew was given a set of headings to fly for both outward and inward tracks. When crews sighted the other MG, they called "Mark" on the radio and noted their distance from the central point as indicated by GPS. Once both MG had been sighted, crews reversed track and began the next run. An example of the randomisation and the direction of runs is shown in Figure 1, below. The distance between the aircraft was calculated by simple trigonometry, the distances of both MG from the central point being noted and recorded at the time of visual contact. [end of excerpt] Results: There were no significant differences in detection distances between the clean (2.67nm) or DayGloİ MG (2.82nm). The mean detection distance for all of the runs was 2.75nm, with ranges from 0.88 to 5.3nm. The weather for these trials was ideal, with sunlight and scattered cloud. The overall mean detection distance of 2.7Snm was considerably better than in trial 1 (1.69nm) reported here, when the weather was less than ideal. In the previous trials carried out in 2000, where similar DayGloİ patches were applied to the MG, the overall mean detection distance was a comparable 2.54nm. As the crews were different for the 2000 and 2002 trials, there can be no meaningful statistical comparison. However, the mean detection distance, in good conditions, with hyper-vigilant crews, for all MG with or without DayGloİ, is only 2.64nm. The crews, who were initially very enthusiastic about the larger DayGloİ patches, confirmed that they did not appear to aid conspicuity. The two studies, in 2000 and 2002, that examined conspicuity of MG during constant-bearing convergence, failed to demonstrate a significant increase in detection distance with the use of the DayGloİ patches. There appeared to be no measurable negative effect upon conspicuity either. Any detection was consistently reported to be due to the silhauette of the MG or to a glint, and not to the DayGloİ. |
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