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How do you get passengers over the fear of flying?



 
 
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  #1  
Old January 15th 04, 01:44 PM
Gary Drescher
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"Gary Drescher" wrote in message
newsLvNb.57987$Rc4.212328@attbi_s54...
personal flying accounts for 48.1% of GA hours, but 70.8% of GA flying.


Oops, that should say "but 70.8% of GA fatal accidents".


  #2  
Old January 15th 04, 03:48 PM
C J Campbell
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"Gary Drescher" wrote in message
newsLvNb.57987$Rc4.212328@attbi_s54...

| According to p. 1 of the Nall Report, there are 1.22 fatal accidents per
| 100,000 GA hours. That's one every 82,000 hours. According to p. 5,
| personal flying accounts for 48.1% of GA hours, but 70.8% of GA flying.
| That comes to one fatal accident per 56,000 hours of personal flying.
| That's every 560 years at 100 hours per year, or every 28 years among 20
| pilots who fly 100 hours per year each. So as I said, it's roughly 1 in
20
| within 25 years.
|

Twenty years ago personal flying was roughly twice as dangerous as it is
now. Seems a lot of the stupid ones killed themselves. Makes you wonder if
we are going to get a an upsurge in accidents now that so many people are
learning to fly again.

Nall is not the only source on aviation safety. Other reports have broken
the accident rate down by type of aircraft. The Cessna 152 and 172 have much
lower accident rates than average, for example. Some models approach the
safety record of airliners, but they tend to be flown only by professional
pilots.


  #3  
Old January 16th 04, 04:43 AM
Gerald Sylvester
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Wow, I asked a short question and this thread has blown into dozens
of postings. I'm glad I'm not the only who was interested
in talking about this.

Also I would like to thank everyone for your thoughts.
I guess most of my friends will never go flying but that
is their choice.


Gary wrote:
According to p. 1 of the Nall Report, there are 1.22 fatal accidents per
100,000 GA hours. That's one every 82,000 hours. According to p. 5,
personal flying accounts for 48.1% of GA hours, but 70.8% of GA flying.
That comes to one fatal accident per 56,000 hours of personal flying.
That's every 560 years at 100 hours per year, or every 28 years among 20
pilots who fly 100 hours per year each. So as I said, it's roughly 1 in 20
within 25 years.


Is it me or do others
find all these stats just completely useless after a while since it
appears that if you add all the percentages up it comes out to
14,284% (Gary I'm not pointing this next comment you *at all*)
I'm starting to believe the old saying, "Statistics don't
lie. The people who use statistics lie." Gary's example is
pretty clear cut but most of these reports are quite
comfusing. (NOTE: I took 9 semesters of math above Calculus I
so my math is not exactly lacking)

Gerald

  #4  
Old January 16th 04, 04:43 AM
Gerald Sylvester
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Wow, I asked a short question and this thread has blown into dozens
of postings. I'm glad I'm not the only who was interested
in talking about this.

Also I would like to thank everyone for your thoughts.
I guess most of my friends will never go flying but that
is their choice.


Gary wrote:
According to p. 1 of the Nall Report, there are 1.22 fatal accidents per
100,000 GA hours. That's one every 82,000 hours. According to p. 5,
personal flying accounts for 48.1% of GA hours, but 70.8% of GA flying.
That comes to one fatal accident per 56,000 hours of personal flying.
That's every 560 years at 100 hours per year, or every 28 years among 20
pilots who fly 100 hours per year each. So as I said, it's roughly 1 in 20
within 25 years.


Is it me or do others
find all these stats just completely useless after a while since it
appears that if you add all the percentages up it comes out to
14,284% (Gary I'm not pointing this next comment you *at all*)
I'm starting to believe the old saying, "Statistics don't
lie. The people who use statistics lie." Gary's example is
pretty clear cut but most of these reports are quite
comfusing. (NOTE: I took 9 semesters of math above Calculus I
so my math is not exactly lacking)

Gerald

  #5  
Old January 16th 04, 11:29 AM
Cub Driver
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The general rule of insurance is that you insure against the unlikely
event that would ruin you, not against the ordinary calamity that
might be expected to come along once in a lifetime.

Thus it is probably silly for me to carry hull insurance on a Piper
Cub. I really don't know why I do it, except that I don't know how I'd
explain to my wife if I had to scrape up $25,000 if I trashed the poor
thing.

But the million-dollar liability policy--that's what's important. I
often regret that I can plump it up even higher.

Similarly, I have thousand-dollar deductibles on my cars and house,
and would go to five thousand if it were offered.

all the best -- Dan Ford
email:

see the Warbird's Forum at
www.warbirdforum.com
and the Piper Cub Forum at www.pipercubforum.com
  #6  
Old January 18th 04, 01:48 AM
kilomii
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All this talk about stats ( and the stats them selves don't amount to a
hill of beans) I drove 5k to 6k miles a month that's 60k to 72k a year. At
the average for most people of 15k a year that made me 480% more likely to
be in an serious accident. Number of accidents I was involved in "0".
Keep your head, know your limits and that of the aircraft and respect the
weather and your can reduce your risk.

What I do when they finally agree to come flying is I make sure they know
why we preflight and what to expect even when only taxiing. Most
important gentle turns and maneuvers. Remember these are people who are used
to seeing the bulk head separating them from first class, and not all the
visual input from a light plane.

You might also arrange with your FBO to taxi an airplane to the fuel pump
and have one of your friends come along , sort of an introduction to a GA
aircraft. worked for me in the past.


  #7  
Old January 18th 04, 02:19 AM
Gary Drescher
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"kilomii" wrote in message
m...
All this talk about stats ( and the stats them selves don't amount to a
hill of beans)


Not true. Carefully interpreted, statistics tell us a great deal about the
world.

I drove 5k to 6k miles a month that's 60k to 72k a year. At
the average for most people of 15k a year that made me 480% more likely to
be in an serious accident. Number of accidents I was involved in "0".


I'm not sure what conclusion you're trying to draw from this example.
Statistically speaking, the number of serious car accidents you'd most
likely be involved in--even at 5 times the average risk--is still closer to
zero than to one, so the statistical prediction was borne out in this case.

Keep your head, know your limits and that of the aircraft and respect the
weather and your can reduce your risk.


Yes, if you do those things, you reduce your risk below what it would be if
you didn't do those things. But you don't necessarily thereby reduce your
risk below the average risk among GA pilots.

--Gary


  #8  
Old January 15th 04, 03:58 PM
Tom Sixkiller
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"C J Campbell" wrote in message
...
It would be interesting to know whether accidents cluster around those who
don't fly very often (less than 50 hours per year) or those who fly a lot

or
even professionally.


I notice many fatal accidents in the NTSB database note that the pilot was
not current...perhaps more than half (sorry...I've not run empirical
analysis). OTOH, there seems to be a lot of pilots with thousands of hours.
Overconfidence of experience?





  #9  
Old January 14th 04, 02:36 PM
Rick Durden
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Gerald,

Congratulations on passing your flight test and getting your
certificate.

You'll find that a huge percentage of people think little airplanes
are death traps for many reasons. While general aviation's lousy
accident record certainly contributes to it, some folks are frightened
of heights, some of surrendering control to someone else in a
situation where they cannot do anything about what is going on and
some don't trust the pilot. How are you perceived by those people?
What kind of driver are you? Are you known for speeding, weaving in
and out of traffic, hard acceleration, heavy braking and no regard for
your passengers? If so, very few people will get in an airplane with
you. If you are known as one who avoids risks then you may find it
easier to get your friends to fly with you.

There are some good articles on how to give a first ride to people.
By and large the rules are keep it short, do it early in the morning
or in the evening when the air is smooth, describe what you are doing
and keep it smooth with shallow banks and very conservative
maneuvering...no stalls or steep turns. A passenger you scare may be
the voter who casts the deciding vote to close your airport. Take
barf bags, put them in reach and mention factually, and briefly, that
if they feel uncomfortable to use the bag. If a passenger expresses a
feeling of discomfort, terminate the flight. Interestingly enough,
those who have done the research have found that if the flight is
ended prior to the passenger throwing up, his or her tolerance will
increase and the passenger will do better on the next flight. If the
passenger actually throws up, the tolerance decreases and it happens
faster on the next flight.

You'll also find that your circle of friends will change as you tend
to associate with those who like the idea of flying.

All the best,
Rick

Gerald Sylvester wrote in message link.net...
I recently got my PPL and find that most people are scared sh*tless to
go up. One friend came along and was just blown away and had a ton
of fun. Just about everyone else is "oh my god, I am so scared
of airplanes." This weekend I was going to go with my CFI to celebrate
my passing my checkride in a brand new SR-20 and people are still
shaking in their boots scared to hell and simply will not go.

Is this me or is it just the general public?

Any ideas? I hope this doesn't sound stupid but just my impression the
since passing my checkride.

Gerald

  #10  
Old January 15th 04, 03:16 AM
Paul
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base on my personal experience:

Do it short. Max 30 minutes of flight.
Never, never, never exceed 15 degrees of bank

Paul

"Rick Durden" a écrit dans le message de
m...
Gerald,

Congratulations on passing your flight test and getting your
certificate.

You'll find that a huge percentage of people think little airplanes
are death traps for many reasons. While general aviation's lousy
accident record certainly contributes to it, some folks are frightened
of heights, some of surrendering control to someone else in a
situation where they cannot do anything about what is going on and
some don't trust the pilot. How are you perceived by those people?
What kind of driver are you? Are you known for speeding, weaving in
and out of traffic, hard acceleration, heavy braking and no regard for
your passengers? If so, very few people will get in an airplane with
you. If you are known as one who avoids risks then you may find it
easier to get your friends to fly with you.

There are some good articles on how to give a first ride to people.
By and large the rules are keep it short, do it early in the morning
or in the evening when the air is smooth, describe what you are doing
and keep it smooth with shallow banks and very conservative
maneuvering...no stalls or steep turns. A passenger you scare may be
the voter who casts the deciding vote to close your airport. Take
barf bags, put them in reach and mention factually, and briefly, that
if they feel uncomfortable to use the bag. If a passenger expresses a
feeling of discomfort, terminate the flight. Interestingly enough,
those who have done the research have found that if the flight is
ended prior to the passenger throwing up, his or her tolerance will
increase and the passenger will do better on the next flight. If the
passenger actually throws up, the tolerance decreases and it happens
faster on the next flight.

You'll also find that your circle of friends will change as you tend
to associate with those who like the idea of flying.

All the best,
Rick

Gerald Sylvester wrote in message

link.net...
I recently got my PPL and find that most people are scared sh*tless to
go up. One friend came along and was just blown away and had a ton
of fun. Just about everyone else is "oh my god, I am so scared
of airplanes." This weekend I was going to go with my CFI to celebrate
my passing my checkride in a brand new SR-20 and people are still
shaking in their boots scared to hell and simply will not go.

Is this me or is it just the general public?

Any ideas? I hope this doesn't sound stupid but just my impression the
since passing my checkride.

Gerald



 




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