NTSB final reports

"Tony" wrote in message
oups.com...
The house has great golf course views, but I wonder
how a realtor will answer questions if an airplane
takes off over it (it's not too far off the extended
centerline).

Well, the odds of a particular house being hit by an airplane is pretty damn
low... The odds of one being hit by TWO airplanes could be argued as being
astronomical...

("Grumman-581" wrote)
Well, the odds of a particular house being hit by an airplane is pretty
damn low... The odds of one being hit by TWO airplanes could be argued as
being astronomical...


Hehehe :-)

"Honey, the chances of another plane hitting this house are astronomical.
See? It's been pre-disastered. We're going to be safe here."

The World According to Garp (1982)


Montblack

"Grumman-581" wrote in message
...
Well, the odds of a particular house being hit by an airplane is pretty
damn
low... The odds of one being hit by TWO airplanes could be argued as being
astronomical...

Only before the first accident. Once that happens, it's just as likely for
that house to be hit twice as it is for a comparable unmolested house to be
hit once.

I do still love the Garp line though.

Pete

There was also that old arguement favoring carrying a bomb onto an
airplane (before 9/11) because it was so unlikely there would be two
bombs on a given flight.

I'm not sure the odds are identical for a second hit after the first
one. The fact that it got hit may mean it's under a changed approach or
departure path, and so becomes more likely to suffer repeated impacts.

I note that you were careful to say

"Once that happens, it's just as likely for that house to be hit twice
as it is for a comparable unmolested house to be
hit once"

which takes that factor into account, but a fast reader may miss that
subtlety.

"Peter Duniho" wrote in message
...
I do still love the Garp line though.

Damn, I thought I was being original...