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A disturbing statistic



 
 
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  #1  
Old November 1st 06, 11:25 AM posted to rec.aviation.ifr
Bob Noel
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Posts: 1,374
Default A disturbing statistic

In article . com,
"Andrew Sarangan" wrote:

Nothing beats walking for safety,


yet my most serious accident occurred while I was walking
and required surgery, a 14 day hospital stay, was out of
work for more than to months, and I'm still recovering.

Nothing is 100% safe.

--
Bob Noel
Looking for a sig the
lawyers will hate

  #2  
Old November 1st 06, 02:10 PM posted to rec.aviation.ifr
Sam Spade
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Posts: 1,326
Default A disturbing statistic

Bob Noel wrote:

In article . com,
"Andrew Sarangan" wrote:


Nothing beats walking for safety,



yet my most serious accident occurred while I was walking
and required surgery, a 14 day hospital stay, was out of
work for more than to months, and I'm still recovering.

Where you walking during good daylight conditions? Were you on a
sidewalk or otherwise away from motor vehicles?

I'm not being coy; there is walking then there is walking.
  #3  
Old November 2nd 06, 01:46 AM posted to rec.aviation.ifr
Bob Noel
external usenet poster
 
Posts: 1,374
Default A disturbing statistic

In article , Sam Spade
wrote:

Nothing beats walking for safety,


yet my most serious accident occurred while I was walking
and required surgery, a 14 day hospital stay, was out of
work for more than to months, and I'm still recovering.

Where you walking during good daylight conditions? Were you on a
sidewalk or otherwise away from motor vehicles?


I was crossing a street, but there was no involvement or contact with
any motor vehicle.

--
Bob Noel
Looking for a sig the
lawyers will hate

  #4  
Old November 1st 06, 03:34 PM posted to rec.aviation.ifr
Matt Barrow
external usenet poster
 
Posts: 603
Default A disturbing statistic


"Bob Noel" wrote in message
...
In article . com,
"Andrew Sarangan" wrote:

Nothing beats walking for safety,


yet my most serious accident occurred while I was walking
and required surgery, a 14 day hospital stay, was out of
work for more than to months, and I'm still recovering.

Nothing is 100% safe.


Quite!! A Islamofascist might play bumper cars on the sidewalk.



  #5  
Old November 5th 06, 02:34 AM posted to rec.aviation.ifr
[email protected]
external usenet poster
 
Posts: 1
Default A disturbing statistic

Those "10 times as dangerous" stats do get your attention.

However, assume that our approximately million pilots each fly 100
hours at 150 mph. 998,800 will survive the year.

If driving is 10 times as safe, 999,880 of a million drivers would
survive the year.

998,800 vs 999,880 for survival is not a big issue for me.
--
Gene Seibel
Tales of Flight - http://pad39a.com/gene/tales.html
Because I fly, I envy no one.






Dane Spearing wrote:
I've had many non-pilot friends and co-workers ask, "Is flying a small plane
more or less dangerous than driving a car?", to which my response has always
been "It depends on who is piloting the plane." However, in order to get
a firmer answer from a statistical standpoint on this question, I decided
to do a little homework:

According to the DOT, the 2005 automobile fatality accident rate is:
1.47 fatalities per 100 million miles traveled
(see http://www-fars.nhtsa.dot.gov/)

According to the 2005 Nall Report, the general aviation fatality accident rate
is: 1.2 fatalities per 100,000 flight hours
(see http://www.aopa.org/asf/publications/nall.html)

In order to compare these two statistics, we obviously need to assume an
average velocity for either automobiles or GA aircraft. If we assume an
average GA aircraft velocity of 150 mph, then the aviation accident statistic
becomes 1.2 fatalities per 15 million miles.

Thus, based on the above, it appears that the GA fatality rate is somewhere
around 7 times that of automobiles. Now I realize that one could fudge the
average GA aircraft velocity velocity up or down, but I'm farily confident
that it's not above 200 mph, nor below 100 mph, which brakets the aviation
fatality rate between 5 and 10 times that of driving. A sobering thought...

Comments?

-- Dane


 




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