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Eeyore writes:
Uh ? Ab-initio training involves getting a PPL first anyway. Why can't you get that flying only large airliners from the beginning? Also, requirements vary from one jurisdiction to another. And technically, you can easily learn to pilot airliners from simulator experience exclusively, without ever stepping into a real aircraft. Do you think they put beginners in heavy twins to begin with ? I think that in some places they put complete novices in simulators and train them to be airline pilots in a year or less. It's entirely possible. -- Transpose mxsmanic and gmail to reach me by e-mail. |
#2
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Eeyore wrote in
: Mxsmanic wrote: John Mazor writes: You didn't have that geographic qualifier when you made your sweeping statement. It's true that a few countries are using ab initio training to breed their own pilots, but that's a tiny minority. Minority or not, it proves that it can be done. Starting and finishing in a jet airliner is a pretty good proof of concept for primary training in a high-performance aircraft. Uh ? Ab-initio training involves getting a PPL first anyway. Do you think they put beginners in heavy twins to begin with ? Fukk you planespotter. Berti e |
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![]() Mxsmanic wrote: Eventually, I expect that airline flights will be fully automated. The lead flight attendant or purser will press a "start flight" button where the cockpit used to be when it's time to push back from the gate, and the rest will be controlled automatically. No need for pilots at all. Good Lord you're amazingly stupid ! Graham |
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![]() "Eeyore" wrote in message ... Mxsmanic wrote: Eventually, I expect that airline flights will be fully automated. The lead flight attendant or purser will press a "start flight" button where the cockpit used to be when it's time to push back from the gate, and the rest will be controlled automatically. No need for pilots at all. Good Lord you're amazingly stupid ! Give the boy credit, he works so hard at it. |
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Eeyore writes:
Good Lord you're amazingly stupid ! Remember that USENET is archived. Someday, when airliners really are piloted automatically, you can look back on what you've said above and try to laugh. -- Transpose mxsmanic and gmail to reach me by e-mail. |
#6
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"Mxsmanic" wrote in message
... John Mazor writes: You didn't have that geographic qualifier when you made your sweeping statement. It's true that a few countries are using ab initio training to breed their own pilots, but that's a tiny minority. Minority or not, it proves that it can be done. And it's possible for crew to fly for 16 hours straight with no relief crew or stops, without an accident. Just because it can be done doesn't mean that it's desirable, let alone optimal. Starting and finishing in a jet airliner is a pretty good proof of concept for primary training in a high-performance aircraft. So the abiity to make an incision and sew it up is pretty good "proof of concept" that a freshly minted medical intern can do brain surgery? Another weasel-worded qualifier. "Most of the time" is not good enough. It's good enough for an entire career, Bull****. You deleted the following sentence in my statement: "One sufficiently bad pilot screw up = one smoking hole." That's the whole point. and it's a lot cheaper to cover only the normal case than it is to train for the exceptions as well. Not when you factor in the costs of accidents caused by inadequate training. Note that "costs" include a lot more than just the liability suits. "Our wings do not fall off most of the time" would not be good enough, either. Then no aircraft is good enough, because there is no aircraft for which it can be said that the wings _never_ fall off. Hey, asswipe, where did I say that wings could never fall off? Not only did I not say that, there's nothing in my statement that even implies that, so don't put words in my mouth. If you're going to argue rationally, please do follow the rules of logic. Every airline pilot with whom I've discussed automation makes it a point to occasionally do a little hand-flying just to maintain those skills. Good for them. But not every airline pilot does this. Such as who? What's the basis for you making such an assertion (outside of the minority of pilots who are trained to think that the airplane is always smarter than they are)? More significantly, there are many emergency situations that are not routinely practiced by many airline pilots. Well, duh, you can't do them all in a sim or training flight. Training typically involves a mix of the most common emergencies - engine cuts, etc. - and a few "special" scenarios, such as new procedures or techniques. But every year we get any number of emergency scenarios that transcend normal training routines. That's what separates the pros from the amateurs - the ability to draw on other experience and extrapolate to whatever doo-doo has just hit your fan. And since airliners are so reliable and normal air travel is so routine, pilots can get away with this and have productive and rewarding careers, anyway. You obviously have not the slightest concept of what goes on in the cockpits of airliners every day. Yes, the vast majority of flights are routine or encounter only minor, easily fixed problems. Be it 99% or 99.9%, it's that last "9" that "proves the concept" that on any given day, somewhere in the entire air transport system, some crew saves their behinds and those of their passengers by exercising experience and skills that rise above the lower level of what is normally required. And that's what makes flying on on an airline the safest possible way to get from A to B in the U.S. You have to draw a line somewhere. It's possible for a 747 to enter a spin, I suppose, but spins are not normally practiced by airline pilots, and there isn't any good way to simulate them. So most airline pilots have no experience with spins in the aircraft they fly. But is that really a problem? How often do 737s or 747s enter spins, anyway? Not nearly as often as the real-life situations that are what I was referring to in my previous paragraph. The Sioux City accident, where Capt. Al Haynes dealt with a system failure for which there was no training and marshalled his resources, is a classic example of the difference between a button-pusher and a real pilot. And your vast pool of ignorance probably is enhanced by no knowledge of events that don't make big news splashes. For example: http://www.alpa.org/alpa/DesktopModu...DocumentID=154 http://www.alpa.org/DesktopModules/A...458& Tabid=73 http://cf.alpa.org/internet/news/2000news/nr00066e.htm http://www.alpa.org/DesktopModules/A...618& Tabid=73 **** happens like this all the time. Trained-monkey button pushers, let alone automated systems, cannot be expected to routinely rise to such levels of airmanship. With increasing automation comes a decreasing need for qualification. That's just a fact of life. And it seems to be an irreversible evolution of commercial aviation. Only when nothing really bad happens, see previous cites. Eventually, I expect that airline flights will be fully automated. The lead flight attendant or purser will press a "start flight" button where the cockpit used to be when it's time to push back from the gate, and the rest will be controlled automatically. No need for pilots at all. There is probably nothing that airlines wish for more, except perhaps free fuel. I learned a long time ago never to say never, but by the time that the technology matures enough to provide sufficiently reliable automation to do that at a level that the public will accept, it also will have given us the means to conduct most interpersonal transactions virtually, thus eliminating most of the situations that require us to physically transport ourselves from A to B. So air transport already will be on the wane, except possibly for cargo. I'll leave it to the futurists to predict when we reach that tipping point, but it won't happen in our lifetimes. Which makes it irrelevant for discussions of current conditions and realities, such as your moronic opinion that minimally trained and experienced button-pushers can replace real pilots. |
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John Mazor writes:
And it's possible for crew to fly for 16 hours straight with no relief crew or stops, without an accident. Just because it can be done doesn't mean that it's desirable, let alone optimal. Where sim-only training is being done, it's being done because it's economical and desirable. Why bother with irrelevant experience and expensive training if you don't need it? So the abiity to make an incision and sew it up is pretty good "proof of concept" that a freshly minted medical intern can do brain surgery? This analogy, if that's what it is, is flawed. Doctors can and do learn to do certain things in simulation, or by the book, or by observation, and the first time they actually do it themselves, it's on a live patient. There is no equivalent to flying a non-revenue flight for practice, which is a major flaw in your analogy. Not all surgery is brain surgery, but minor surgery can be learned as you describe. Brain surgery is only slightly different from a surgical standpoint; most of the require skill relates to knowing specific characteristics of the brain, not differences in making and closing incisions or other basic surgical procedures. Bull****. You deleted the following sentence in my statement: "One sufficiently bad pilot screw up = one smoking hole." That's the whole point. Zero tolerance might be a romantic ideal, but that's not the way aviation works in real life. In the real world, a certain threshold of accidents is tolerated in order to make practical aviation achievable. In airline accidents, the cause is often not so much a bad pilot as a pilot who made the wrong mistakes at the wrong time. Many pilots who crash have good records, but for any of several possible reasons, they messed up once and died. That happened despite all their experience in tin cans, their ratings, their logged hours, and so on. You're never so experienced that you can afford to be complacent. Conversely, if you are very careful, you don't have to have 30 years of experience. Personality plays a major role here, as numerous studies have proved, and the old saying that there are no old, bold pilots continues to ring true. Not when you factor in the costs of accidents caused by inadequate training. Less training doesn't mean inadequate training. Much of current training is difficult to justify in a practical sense, and doing without it would have only a slight impact on accident statistics. Most accidents involve crews placed in situations that involve multiple departures from the norm. The confusion this causes destroys situational awareness and crew coordination and leads to accidents. Part of this can be improved through training, part of this cannot. Some of it is human nature, some of it is personality. It's a complex domain of study, but it's clear that many aspects of current training are irrelevant, whereas other aspects are needed but missing. Such as who? Those who fly as a job, and not as an adventure. They do what they are required to do, and that's it. There are pilots who do it only for the money, although they are perhaps more common in developing countries than in developed countries (developed countries offer more choices for high-paying jobs, many with fewer requirements and prerequisites than piloting). Well, duh, you can't do them all in a sim or training flight. Fortunately, they aren't all necessary, as they effectively never occur in real life. But every year we get any number of emergency scenarios that transcend normal training routines. Yes, but the first one to do it tells everyone else in line what it will be, so it hardly comes as a surprise. That's what separates the pros from the amateurs - the ability to draw on other experience and extrapolate to whatever doo-doo has just hit your fan. That is completely uncorrelated with pro vs. amateur. A professional is someone who is paid to do something; an amateur is someone who does it for fun. You obviously have not the slightest concept of what goes on in the cockpits of airliners every day. In other words, you disagree. But I might have a much better idea than you think. Yes, the vast majority of flights are routine or encounter only minor, easily fixed problems. Be it 99% or 99.9%, it's that last "9" that "proves the concept" that on any given day, somewhere in the entire air transport system, some crew saves their behinds and those of their passengers by exercising experience and skills that rise above the lower level of what is normally required. Except that, below a certain probability, it's easy for pilots to go through their entire careers without being called upon to handle a given situation, in which case training for it is wasted, and those who cannot handle it are just as good in their positions as those who can. And that's what makes flying on on an airline the safest possible way to get from A to B in the U.S. That's a separate debate that I won't get into here. Not nearly as often as the real-life situations that are what I was referring to in my previous paragraph. But if I'm to believe what you appear to assert, spins should be practiced "just in case," and any pilot not familiar with them is somehow going to perform worse in his job than one who is. The Sioux City accident, where Capt. Al Haynes dealt with a system failure for which there was no training and marshalled his resources, is a classic example of the difference between a button-pusher and a real pilot. It's actually a classic example of multiple heads being better than one, and of good crew cooperation. **** happens like this all the time. Trained-monkey button pushers, let alone automated systems, cannot be expected to routinely rise to such levels of airmanship. It doesn't happen all the time. It happens on rare occasions. Whether old-school pilots like it or not, flying airliners is increasingly a matter of pushing buttons, and this trend will only continue. Most modern airliners don't require a flight engineer; he has been replaced by automation. If something failed in that automation, would the average airline pilot today know what to do, even if he had the means to do it? The answer is no. And it doesn't matter because the automation is the only option; there is no manual override for anything. Only when nothing really bad happens, see previous cites. In an increasing and overwhelming majority of cases, nothing bad happens. I learned a long time ago never to say never, but by the time that the technology matures enough to provide sufficiently reliable automation to do that at a level that the public will accept, it also will have given us the means to conduct most interpersonal transactions virtually, thus eliminating most of the situations that require us to physically transport ourselves from A to B. We already have that capability, but many people don't want to use it. A vast number of flights every day carry businesspeople to meetings in person that could just as easily be carried out electronically. -- Transpose mxsmanic and gmail to reach me by e-mail. |
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On Mar 25, 6:07 pm, "John Mazor" wrote:
snip You obviously have not the slightest concept of what goes on in the cockpits of airliners every day. It never stops him from venturing his lack of such knowledge Yes, the vast majority of flights are routine or encounter only minor, easily fixed problems. Be it 99% or 99.9%, it's that last "9" that "proves the concept" that on any given day, somewhere in the entire air transport system, some crew saves their behinds and those of their passengers by exercising experience and skills that rise above the lower level of what is normally required. And that's what makes flying on on an airline the safest possible way to get from A to B in the U.S. Flying is the safest way to get anywhere in the world.. |
#9
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Mxsmanic wrote in
: John Mazor writes: You didn't have that geographic qualifier when you made your sweeping statement. It's true that a few countries are using ab initio training to breed their own pilots, but that's a tiny minority. Minority or not, it proves that it can be done. No, it doesn't Bertie |
#10
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Mxsmanic wrote in
: John Mazor writes: You didn't have that geographic qualifier when you made your sweeping statement. It's true that a few countries are using ab initio training to breed their own pilots, but that's a tiny minority. Minority or not, it proves that it can be done. Starting and finishing in a jet airliner is a pretty good proof of concept for primary training in a high-performance aircraft. They don't do primary training in a jet airliner, you moron. Bertie |
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