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#181
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![]() "Matt Whiting" wrote in message ... Neil Gould wrote: Do you understand that, historically speaking, many scientific hypotheses are proven wrong and that doing so is consistent with the scientific method? Absolutely. Now if only the evolutionists and global warming fanatics would come to understand that. Which "fanatics" are you referring to? The millions of scientists and experts worldwide who understand the limits of the scientific method but still accept evolution as the best explanation, and are concerned about the mounting evidence of global warming? Or the fanatics who are in denial about the solid foundations for evolution and the growing evidence of global warning? |
#182
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Matt Whiting wrote in
: Neil Gould wrote: Recently, Matt Whiting posted: John Mazor wrote: "Neil Gould" wrote in message ... Recently, Bob Noel posted: In article , Thomas Borchert wrote: Bob, Denying the theory of evolution is not necessarily anti-science. I can't see how it isn't. OK. then we'll just have to disagree As long as you're clear that you're disagreeing with everyone who knows what science is... Which, unfortunately, is a dismayingly small percentage of the population. Many think they know but they're completely ignorant of the principles of the scientific method. And a dismayingly small percentage of the current population of those who claim to be scientists. This will become very apparent within a few decades when all of the global warming, er, global climate change "scientists" are proven wrong. That will be the biggest setback to science in our lifetimes. Do you understand that, historically speaking, many scientific hypotheses are proven wrong and that doing so is consistent with the scientific method? Absolutely. Now if only the evolutionists and global warming fanatics would come to understand that. Only if you'll tell me why gravity doesn';t work. Bertie |
#183
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Matt Whiting wrote in
: John Mazor wrote: "Matt Whiting" wrote in message ... John Mazor wrote: Many think they know but they're completely ignorant of the principles of the scientific method. And a dismayingly small percentage of the current population of those who claim to be scientists. Wrong, see below. This will become very apparent within a few decades when all of the global warming, er, global climate change "scientists" are proven wrong. That will be the biggest setback to science in our lifetimes. Please demonstrate that a significant percentage of reputable scientists claim that increased global warming to catastrophic levels is a dead certain fact and won't admit to the usual caveats of the scientific method. They may exist but they would be a small minority. And you're going to need primary sources - media science reporting is notoriously inaccurate and tries to inflate scientific statements way beyond the scientist's actual views. We need to see it in their own published material or equally reliable sources. http://scienceline.org/2007/02/07/gl...in-change-and- mor al-uncertainty/ Maybe you don't consider 600 scientists to be significant, but just to be clear is that what you are saying? A full, accurate statement that conforms to the scientific method would be along the lines of "There is mounting scientific evidence that the Earth is experiencing global warming, that the rate of warming is increasing, that human activity could be contributing to this, and if this trend continues, it has major implications for life on Earth. While alternative eplanations exist, they are not as useful in explaining all the observed data." There is no absolute certainty anywhere in there. Often scientists are guilty of not reciting the full version because they mistakenly assume that everyone understands the full but unspoken context of their announcements. But even when they do provide the full context, it seldom is included in the media accounts because it's not as sexy as some version of "Scientistists predict the end is near!" I don't see much equivocation or acceptance of any possible error in statements such as: “the question mark was removed behind the debate about whether climate change had anything to do with human activity on this planet.” “There is no question that the increase in greenhouse gases are dominated by human activity…The warming of the climate system is now unequivocal,” Can you point out the allowance for error in the above statements? Why would you want to? Unless you were an idiot, of course. Bertie |
#184
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But Jay....the really big question: Did you sell any rooms during the
media frenzy? Al 1964 Skyhawk SFF/Spokane WA Jay Honeck wrote: The root problem is that money plays too big a role in elections. Boy, isn't that the truth? The money that was just spent in Iowa was absolutely astounding -- and for what? |
#185
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![]() "Matt Whiting" wrote in message ... John Mazor wrote: "Matt Whiting" wrote in message ... John Mazor wrote: Many think they know but they're completely ignorant of the principles of the scientific method. And a dismayingly small percentage of the current population of those who claim to be scientists. Wrong, see below. This will become very apparent within a few decades when all of the global warming, er, global climate change "scientists" are proven wrong. That will be the biggest setback to science in our lifetimes. Please demonstrate that a significant percentage of reputable scientists claim that increased global warming to catastrophic levels is a dead certain fact and won't admit to the usual caveats of the scientific method. They may exist but they would be a small minority. And you're going to need primary sources - media science reporting is notoriously inaccurate and tries to inflate scientific statements way beyond the scientist's actual views. We need to see it in their own published material or equally reliable sources. http://scienceline.org/2007/02/07/gl...l-uncertainty/ Maybe you don't consider 600 scientists to be significant, but just to be clear is that what you are saying? First of all, the statement related only to the question of whether human activity contributed to the greenhouse effect, not to predictions of how far warming will go or its effects. At the risk of sounding unscientific, the answer to that was pretty predictable even before the results were in. Only a fool would deny that it happens. The only open question is in the details, such as what are the mechanisms and how much does each contribute? Furthermore, what they are saying is that the probability that their findings and conclusions about the effects of human activity on global warming are wrong has decreased to the point that, given the consequences ignoring the growing body of evidence, they are confident enough that as human beings who just happen to be scientists, they have been moved to call for action by society. Since it's inherent in the scientific method that you're never going to achieve 100% certainty on anything, it's a judgment call on when you decide that the evidence is "good enough for government work". By your standards, scientists could never speak up outside the boundaries of their professional constraints because they know that they can never be 100% sure about their findings and conclusions. And I'm sure that if you cornered any of those scientists and asked "We understand the concerns you have expressed, but keeping in mind the limits of the scientific method, are you prepared to give us a 100% guarantee that there is absolutely no possibility that your findings might be mistaken?" the vast majority would not say yes. A full, accurate statement that conforms to the scientific method would be along the lines of "There is mounting scientific evidence that the Earth is experiencing global warming, that the rate of warming is increasing, that human activity could be contributing to this, and if this trend continues, it has major implications for life on Earth. While alternative eplanations exist, they are not as useful in explaining all the observed data." There is no absolute certainty anywhere in there. Often scientists are guilty of not reciting the full version because they mistakenly assume that everyone understands the full but unspoken context of their announcements. But even when they do provide the full context, it seldom is included in the media accounts because it's not as sexy as some version of "Scientistists predict the end is near!" I don't see much equivocation or acceptance of any possible error in statements such as: “the question mark was removed behind the debate about whether climate change had anything to do with human activity on this planet.” “There is no question that the increase in greenhouse gases are dominated by human activity…The warming of the climate system is now unequivocal,” See previous. Can you point out the allowance for error in the above statements? See previous. And since it is a brief news account, we don't know that the appropriate caveats weren't given at the news conference or in the report. |
#186
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![]() "John Mazor" wrote in message news:T8Bgj.172040$TO.53294@trnddc01... "Matt Whiting" wrote in message ... Neil Gould wrote: Do you understand that, historically speaking, many scientific hypotheses are proven wrong and that doing so is consistent with the scientific method? Absolutely. Now if only the evolutionists and global warming fanatics would come to understand that. Which "fanatics" are you referring to? The millions of scientists and experts worldwide who understand the limits of the scientific method but still accept evolution as the best explanation, and are concerned about the mounting evidence of global warming? What evidence of globa;l warming? Or the fanatics who are in denial about the solid foundations for evolution and the growing evidence of global warning? Or those in denial about the fraudulent evidence for global warming. |
#187
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John Mazor wrote:
"Matt Whiting" wrote in message ... John Mazor wrote: "Matt Whiting" wrote in message ... John Mazor wrote: Many think they know but they're completely ignorant of the principles of the scientific method. And a dismayingly small percentage of the current population of those who claim to be scientists. Wrong, see below. This will become very apparent within a few decades when all of the global warming, er, global climate change "scientists" are proven wrong. That will be the biggest setback to science in our lifetimes. Please demonstrate that a significant percentage of reputable scientists claim that increased global warming to catastrophic levels is a dead certain fact and won't admit to the usual caveats of the scientific method. They may exist but they would be a small minority. And you're going to need primary sources - media science reporting is notoriously inaccurate and tries to inflate scientific statements way beyond the scientist's actual views. We need to see it in their own published material or equally reliable sources. http://scienceline.org/2007/02/07/gl...l-uncertainty/ Maybe you don't consider 600 scientists to be significant, but just to be clear is that what you are saying? First of all, the statement related only to the question of whether human activity contributed to the greenhouse effect, not to predictions of how far warming will go or its effects. At the risk of sounding unscientific, the answer to that was pretty predictable even before the results were in. Only a fool would deny that it happens. The only open question is in the details, such as what are the mechanisms and how much does each contribute? Furthermore, what they are saying is that the probability that their findings and conclusions about the effects of human activity on global warming are wrong has decreased to the point that, given the consequences ignoring the growing body of evidence, they are confident enough that as human beings who just happen to be scientists, they have been moved to call for action by society. Since it's inherent in the scientific method that you're never going to achieve 100% certainty on anything, it's a judgment call on when you decide that the evidence is "good enough for government work". By your standards, scientists could never speak up outside the boundaries of their professional constraints because they know that they can never be 100% sure about their findings and conclusions. Why is it that Christians who accept things they aren't 100% sure of (they call it faith) are called nutcases or worse, yet when it is scientists who accepts things they aren't 100% sure of it is somehow different? And I'm sure that if you cornered any of those scientists and asked "We understand the concerns you have expressed, but keeping in mind the limits of the scientific method, are you prepared to give us a 100% guarantee that there is absolutely no possibility that your findings might be mistaken?" the vast majority would not say yes. A full, accurate statement that conforms to the scientific method would be along the lines of "There is mounting scientific evidence that the Earth is experiencing global warming, that the rate of warming is increasing, that human activity could be contributing to this, and if this trend continues, it has major implications for life on Earth. While alternative eplanations exist, they are not as useful in explaining all the observed data." There is no absolute certainty anywhere in there. Often scientists are guilty of not reciting the full version because they mistakenly assume that everyone understands the full but unspoken context of their announcements. But even when they do provide the full context, it seldom is included in the media accounts because it's not as sexy as some version of "Scientistists predict the end is near!" I don't see much equivocation or acceptance of any possible error in statements such as: “the question mark was removed behind the debate about whether climate change had anything to do with human activity on this planet.” “There is no question that the increase in greenhouse gases are dominated by human activity…The warming of the climate system is now unequivocal,” See previous. Can you point out the allowance for error in the above statements? See previous. And since it is a brief news account, we don't know that the appropriate caveats weren't given at the news conference or in the report. Nice rationalizations. Keep trying, these are pretty weak. Matt |
#188
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Matt Whiting wrote in
: Xref: news rec.aviation.piloting:581205 Path: news.glorb.com!news-feed01.roc.ny.frontiernet.net! nntp.frontiernet.net! news2.epix.net!news1.epix.net!not-for-mail From: Matt Whiting User-Agent: Mozilla/5.0 (Windows; U; Windows NT 5.1; en-US; rv:1.8.1.2) Gecko/20070222 SeaMonkey/1.1.1 - a Firefox sibling MIME-Version: 1.0 Newsgroups: rec.aviation.piloting Subject: "socialist" when describing Hillary Clinton References: l4efj.19953$Ux2.17252@attbi_s22 9Uefj.16965$DG4.7949@trnddc04 yrufj.130$Xo1.93@trnddc06 K2Dfj.21648$Ux2.1511@attbi_s22 iQagj.6743$9e1.3236@trnddc02 W2igj.5915$Xo1.4382@trnddc06 2IBgj.7352$9e1.4415@trnddc02 In-Reply-To: 2IBgj.7352$9e1.4415@trnddc02 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=windows-1252; format=flowed Content-Transfer-Encoding: 8bit Lines: 84 Message-ID: Date: Tue, 08 Jan 2008 03:34:34 GMT NNTP-Posting-Host: 209.74.29.154 X-Complaints-To: X-Trace: news1.epix.net 1199763274 209.74.29.154 (Mon, 07 Jan 2008 22:34:34 EST) NNTP-Posting-Date: Mon, 07 Jan 2008 22:34:34 EST John Mazor wrote: "Matt Whiting" wrote in message ... John Mazor wrote: "Matt Whiting" wrote in message ... John Mazor wrote: Many think they know but they're completely ignorant of the principles of the scientific method. And a dismayingly small percentage of the current population of those who claim to be scientists. Wrong, see below. This will become very apparent within a few decades when all of the global warming, er, global climate change "scientists" are proven wrong. That will be the biggest setback to science in our lifetimes. Please demonstrate that a significant percentage of reputable scientists claim that increased global warming to catastrophic levels is a dead certain fact and won't admit to the usual caveats of the scientific method. They may exist but they would be a small minority. And you're going to need primary sources - media science reporting is notoriously inaccurate and tries to inflate scientific statements way beyond the scientist's actual views. We need to see it in their own published material or equally reliable sources. http://scienceline.org/2007/02/07/gl...in-change-and- m oral-uncertainty/ Maybe you don't consider 600 scientists to be significant, but just to be clear is that what you are saying? First of all, the statement related only to the question of whether human activity contributed to the greenhouse effect, not to predictions of how far warming will go or its effects. At the risk of sounding unscientific, the answer to that was pretty predictable even before the results were in. Only a fool would deny that it happens. The only open question is in the details, such as what are the mechanisms and how much does each contribute? Furthermore, what they are saying is that the probability that their findings and conclusions about the effects of human activity on global warming are wrong has decreased to the point that, given the consequences ignoring the growing body of evidence, they are confident enough that as human beings who just happen to be scientists, they have been moved to call for action by society. Since it's inherent in the scientific method that you're never going to achieve 100% certainty on anything, it's a judgment call on when you decide that the evidence is "good enough for government work". By your standards, scientists could never speak up outside the boundaries of their professional constraints because they know that they can never be 100% sure about their findings and conclusions. Why is it that Christians who accept things they aren't 100% sure of (they call it faith) are called nutcases or worse, yet when it is scientists who accepts things they aren't 100% sure of it is somehow different? Because it's implicit in the scientific method that nothing is 100% certain, Somethign that has been explained to you over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over over and over and over and over and over and over And still you won't get it. Bertie |
#189
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![]() "Andreus" wrote So, what book were they reading when they sold indulgences, and commited the crusades, witch burnings, and many other misdeeds involving native populations. Don't judge me, on what happened a thousand years ago. That was a little period of time called the dark ages. Ignorance ruled. Period. -- Jim in NC |
#190
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"Morgans" wrote in
: "Andreus" wrote So, what book were they reading when they sold indulgences, and commited the crusades, witch burnings, and many other misdeeds involving native populations. Don't judge me, on what happened a thousand years ago. That was a little period of time called the dark ages. Ignorance ruled. Period. Well, the trend is for a return to those happy times. http://www.thecatholiclibrary.org/Do...p/article1.php Bertie |
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