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#11
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![]() There was once an article in the Atlantic Monthly (I think it was then called the Atlantic Monthly) entitled "There are XXX trees in Russia". The writer dealt with the habit of journalists leaving blanks in their copy, which researchers were later supposed to fill in. The point being: how meaningful could a statistic be, if the writer didn't know it to begin with? The writer's favorite case involved the trees-in-Russia question. Let's say it was Newsweek. A Newsweek researcher naturally called the Russian embassy, which admitted it didn't have a clue. The researcher then estimated the acres of forest in Russia, estimated how many trees per acre, and multiplied the two figures. Newsweek published the number. The next week, the Russian embassy called up, pleased as punch, and announced that it had the answer to the researcher's question: there were exactly XXX trees in Russia. (The source, of course, was the Newsweek article, a perfect example of the referential nature of the "facts" we get in the news.) all the best -- Dan Ford email: see the Warbird's Forum at www.warbirdforum.com and the Piper Cub Forum at www.pipercubforum.com |
#12
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Bob, reliable estimates of such things don't necessarily require
exhaustive counts. Carefully designed sampling works, too. It would be interesting to figure out how many people have flown, in total. I just saw a figure that said the Boeing 747 has safely flown an amazing number of people (half a billion?) over the years. An easier one to determine would be how many certificated pilots there have been since 1903. We always bandy about stats like "only .05% of the world can fly" -- but does anyone really know that figure? -- Jay Honeck Iowa City, IA Pathfinder N56993 www.AlexisParkInn.com "Your Aviation Destination" |
#13
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"Bob Gardner" wrote in message news:QITSb.148342$Rc4.1191358@attbi_s54...
Do you report your annual hours flown to the government (or GAMA, for that matter)? Bob Gardner "TaxSrv" wrote in message ... "tracksterman" wrote: I'm having trouble tracking down a statistic I'm after, thought you knowledgable folks might be able to help. As the subject title says: how many people are aloft in aeroplanes at any one time...? If you want general aviation numbers, it should be easy to compute. GAMA (www.generaviation.org) publishes stats on #'s and annual hours of active aircraft. NTSB accident data (www.ntsb.gov) can be used to derive the average # of occupants per aircraft, and by time of day if needed. Fred F. Thats not the question he is asking - he wants to know how many people are in the air at any one time and without qualifications as to GA or otherwise. I would probably guess that there is a couple of million in the air at any one time and ten times that in terminals seeing them off and arrive |
#14
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![]() Bob Gardner wrote: Do you report your annual hours flown to the government (or GAMA, for that matter)? Every two years I report the number of hours I've flown in the last two years to a representative of the FAA. George Patterson Love, n.: A form of temporary insanity afflicting the young. It is curable either by marriage or by removal of the afflicted from the circumstances under which he incurred the condition. It is sometimes fatal, but more often to the physician than to the patient. |
#15
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No one could possibly know with any degree of accuracy. If you read such a
statistic before it was simply a wild guess. |
#16
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![]() "Jay Honeck" wrote in message news:iLWSb.193952$I06.2142132@attbi_s01... | Bob, reliable estimates of such things don't necessarily require | exhaustive | counts. Carefully designed sampling works, too. | | It would be interesting to figure out how many people have flown, in total. | I just saw a figure that said the Boeing 747 has safely flown an amazing | number of people (half a billion?) over the years. | | An easier one to determine would be how many certificated pilots there have | been since 1903. We always bandy about stats like "only .05% of the world | can fly" -- but does anyone really know that figure? Just about 67% of all statistics are made up out of thin air. |
#17
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soo... if all those people are in the air.. is the earth suddenly that much
lighter?? BT "Pete Jones" wrote in message news ![]() On Sat, 31 Jan 2004 11:44:09 -0700, "Tom Sixkiller" blathered: Think, tracksterman, think! Where would these numbers come from? Do you think that general aviation pilots report their passenger loads to Big Brother? There is a remote possibility that someone could add up the passenger manifests of the airliners in flight at a particular time and report the total to Big Brother, but at what cost? And for what benefit? Bob Gardner I think he means "How many aircraft are aloft at any one time"?? No, I mean 'how many people' - and it's a global figure I want rather than a US one. Of course this would only ever be a (very!) approximate number, but that's all I need - and it has been done before, because I remember reading the figure a couple of years ago. Just having a spectacular lack of success finding it online... Pete ---- http://www.btinternet.com/~peteajones/ |
#18
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"BTIZ" wrote in message
news:FJZSb.2763$IF1.451@fed1read01... soo... if all those people are in the air.. is the earth suddenly that much lighter?? No. |
#19
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![]() "C J Campbell" wrote in message ... "Jay Honeck" wrote in message news:iLWSb.193952$I06.2142132@attbi_s01... | Bob, reliable estimates of such things don't necessarily require | exhaustive | counts. Carefully designed sampling works, too. | | It would be interesting to figure out how many people have flown, in total. | I just saw a figure that said the Boeing 747 has safely flown an amazing | number of people (half a billion?) over the years. | | An easier one to determine would be how many certificated pilots there have | been since 1903. We always bandy about stats like "only .05% of the world | can fly" -- but does anyone really know that figure? Just about 67% of all statistics are made up out of thin air. No, 67.8%, |
#20
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![]() "Jeb" wrote in message om... "Bob Gardner" wrote in message news:QITSb.148342$Rc4.1191358@attbi_s54... Do you report your annual hours flown to the government (or GAMA, for that matter)? Bob Gardner "TaxSrv" wrote in message ... "tracksterman" wrote: I'm having trouble tracking down a statistic I'm after, thought you knowledgable folks might be able to help. As the subject title says: how many people are aloft in aeroplanes at any one time...? If you want general aviation numbers, it should be easy to compute. GAMA (www.generaviation.org) publishes stats on #'s and annual hours of active aircraft. NTSB accident data (www.ntsb.gov) can be used to derive the average # of occupants per aircraft, and by time of day if needed. Fred F. Thats not the question he is asking - he wants to know how many people are in the air at any one time and without qualifications as to GA or otherwise. I would probably guess that there is a couple of million in the air at any one time and ten times that in terminals seeing them off and arrive So, your guesstimate is that for every one person flying there is a cummaltive 10 people in a terminal watching them depart or arrive. That, to me, seems like an inflated estimate. Earl G |
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