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#61
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Justin Gombos wrote in
news:tZwmi.854$s25.809@trndny04: On 2007-07-15, Marty Shapiro wrote: How do you propose for the insurance company, assuming they did issue a "weekend only" policy, account for the higher risk caused by the well known, and sometimes fatal, ailment, gethomeitis? A "weekend only" policy could easily cause increased incidents of gethomeitis to flare up. If you are running late Sunday evening and won't be home before midnight do you plan to land and wait until the next Saturday to retrieve your aircraft or will you be tempted to fly just slightly into Monday so you can get home, put your airplane away, and get to work Monday morning? If the weather becomes marginal, will you be tempted to push it to arrive Sunday rather than wait for the severe clear predicted for Monday? This could easily make for a signficantly higher premium for a "weekend only" policy. In some cases, the risk will be less, and more in other cases. The question is, if an unsafe pilot excercises poor judgement and violates the weather minimums mandated by the FAR, is the insurance company liable for the claim? If not, then the risk is actually less. Or suppose a safe pilot decides to wait until Monday and fly without insurance (is that legal?), the insurance company is 100% off the hook for the risk associated with the return trip, which would again be less net risk. For the gray area, where the weather is legally safe but on the edge, and the pilot accepts it in light of an expectation of better weather later, is that risk great enough to more than offset the reduced risk cases? Perhaps.. and then the next question is whether it's great enough to completely offset the reduced risk flying significantly fewer hours. I doubt it because the FAR weather minimums are adequite a majority of the time, and would have been stricter if marginal conditions posed a significant danger. OTOH, you may be right on the money. Good point. We can also figure that a daily pilot is going to get trapped by the weather more frequently.. so we would really need some stats to make that comparison. Since this is a hypothetical policy anyway, we could always include Monday in the weekend policy and increase the premium so weekenders have an extra day to further mitigate this type of issue. At what time did the airplane crash? Suppose someone crashes at 11:00 PM Sunday while flying in a sparsely populated where there is no radar coverage. Wreckage is found Monday morning at 6 AM. Does the weekend policy cover this crash? Before you answer, remember that there are no witnesses to the crash nor any radar tapes to confirm when the airccraft disappeared. The important thing is that such a policy puts pressure on the pilot to complete the flight by midnight Sunday or fly without insurance coverage the next day. That has been shown to be the cause of gethomeitis (or, when outbound, getthereitis). The weather might be VFR, but is it at the pilot's personal comfort level? Would the pilot feel the pressure to fly if it is below his comfort level even though legal? Does the weekend IFR rated pilot really feel comfortable shooting the approach to minimums when it has been maybe years since he had to do so, even though he is legally current? If not, that pilot is more prone to make mistakes than the pilot who flies much more frequently or even daily. BTW, the legality of the flight has absolutely nothing to due with insurance coverage. Unlike the state DMV, the FAA does not require insurance to register an aircraft or exercise pilot privileges. The daily pilot doesn't worry about being trapped by the weather. He just waits until the next day. He doesn't have the pressure of having to wait until the next weekend. The weekend policy tells the pilot that if he doesn't get home by midnight Sunday, he is going to either miss an entire week's work or fly without insurance coverage. The daily pilot will miss maybe half a days work if Monday morning is clear and he is only two or three hours away from his destination. The daily pilot has both more experience and less pressure to complete the flight on Sunday than the weekend pilot. If you start making the policy good through Monday, then you just moved the problem from Sunday night to Monday night. Care to go for Tuesday? Might as well go for all seven days and be done with it. If the weekend pilot is willing to fly Monday with no insurance coverage, why does he even bother with insurance at all, especially if he is not flying every weekend. Just get "hull not in motion" coverage to protect against ground damage caused by someone else while the aircraft is parked in its tie down. -- Marty Shapiro Silicon Rallye Inc. (remove SPAMNOT to email me) |
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On Jul 14, 2:56 pm, Justin Gombos
wrote: So does the pilots estimate of the hours per year they expect to fly affect the premium? Auto insurers often ask how many miles drivers I have been a plane onwer for the last 4 years. None of the forms that I had filled out to obtain quotes from several insurance companies/agencies asked me to estimate the hours that I expect to fly. They all wanted to know the same things such as total number of hours, total number of hours in type/model, total number of hours flown the last 12 months, total number of hours flown the last 90 days etc All policies are for the whole year. In 2005, our policy expired in March and we were scheduled to take our accelerated IFR training in May, we were told that having instrument ratings would reduce our premium but we would have to wait until next year for the discount to take effect since the policy could not be adjusted even after only two months. In another year, my husband was only10 or so hours shy of 500hrs when we renewed the policy. I had over 500hrs at that time but the cost was based on the co-insurers with the least experience. Again we were told that there would be a cost reduction after 500hrs but it would not take effect until the next year. Unlike automobile insurance where there are many companies to choose from, there are less than a handful of aviation insurance companies. Their policies are very much similar. Whether you think that the policies make sense or not, you have to accept whatever availalbe. It's apples and oranges when it comes to comparing automobile and aviation insurances. Hai Longworth |
#63
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Justin Gombos wrote:
On 2007-07-13, Gig 601XL Builder wrDOTgiaconaATsuddenlink.net wrote: Justin Gombos wrote: I think you need to do some more research into the cost of ownership of an aircraft. I read some pretty good advise once that if the price of an aircraft was even approaching being a problem for you that you shouldn't be buying that aircraft. AFAIK, the only other figures I need to explore are maintenance costs at this point.. which I've heard are significant. Roughly, what should I figure to be an average or typical annual cost on maintaining a Columbia (or the like) with 1k TT? I don't have a clue but your response illustrates my point. You have acknowledged that the cost of the aircraft is at the edge of your comfort range and the cost of insurance might put it outside that range. In addition to maintenance you will also have to park it somewhere and that usually costs something as well. Seeing as the Columbia is a composite aircraft you will probably want to park in a hanger. That can range from a sistuation like mine where I pay $450/year for the ground lease and own my hanger which cost $30K to thousands/month. |
#64
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Gig, this thread has reverted to, or maybe from the start was, a
sophmoric academic discussion driven by someone who is prone to argue with those who tried to help. I was hoping Justin is not a troll in training, but the evidence seems to be mounting that he may worship at the shrine of MX. Tina |
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Tina wrote:
Gig, this thread has reverted to, or maybe from the start was, a sophmoric academic discussion driven by someone who is prone to argue with those who tried to help. I was hoping Justin is not a troll in training, but the evidence seems to be mounting that he may worship at the shrine of MX. Tina While I think you may be right I'm going to give him the benefit of the doubt a little longer. |
#66
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On Jul 15, 3:12 pm, Justin Gombos
wrote: In some cases, the risk will be less, and more in other cases. The question is, if an unsafe pilot excercises poor judgement and violates the weather minimums mandated by the FAR, is the insurance company liable for the claim? Of course they are. That's why we buy policies in the first place. To cover us financially when we do something stupid. A policy that only covers you when you do everything exactly by the FARs, should be fairly inexpensive. It would be nearly worthless to the policyholder. John Galban=====N4BQ (PA28-180) |
#67
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Very good points overall Shapiro.. I appreciate your use of sound
logic here. On 2007-07-15, Marty Shapiro wrote: At what time did the airplane crash? Suppose someone crashes at 11:00 PM Sunday while flying in a sparsely populated where there is no radar coverage. Wreckage is found Monday morning at 6 AM. Does the weekend policy cover this crash? Before you answer, remember that there are no witnesses to the crash nor any radar tapes to confirm when the airccraft disappeared. It would be handled the same way it would be handled on the last day of an annual policy not set to renew. I don't know what the case law indicates in those instances. The court is going to use the best evidence available, which may include the date of the accident printed on the FAA accident report. If the insurance company has better information than the FAA had in their date estimation, the court will accept it. Even in the worst case, there is likely to be meterological data, approximate route, refueling records, ETA from whoever was expecting him / ETD from whoever he last spoke to. Often whether these gray areas become problematic depend on the quality of the insurance provider. I don't always buy insurance from the lowest bidder, because there are some insurers who have a high consumer rating, and a reputation for being easy going on claims. Insureds who take the lowest bid are likely to need to hire a lawyer to get the money their entitled to in these borderline claims. It's a good point though. Since a weekend policy would have 51-52 more end-of-coverage seams than an annual policy, it would be important to get a good insurer. The probability of litigation would increase with the lower quality insurers. It would certainly make sense to have set the termination time to 4am or some less likely time to be in the air. The important thing is that such a policy puts pressure on the pilot to complete the flight by midnight Sunday or fly without insurance coverage the next day. That has been shown to be the cause of gethomeitis (or, when outbound, getthereitis). The policies don't currently exist without continuity, so it cannot have been shown at this point to cause getmehomeitis.. unless you mean to say other pressuring factors have had this effect, like making it to work. And certainly those other factors are significant, and indeed just as present regardless of whether insurance coverage has continuity. If a pilot doesn't have a reason not to fly on weekdays, and we distill the hypothetical incident down to the insurance being the only pressuring factor, then I would agree - this pilot would not be a good candidate for a weekend only policy. If there were to be a significant number of pilots who are available to fly daily signing up for the weekend policy, then the solution to getmehomeitis could be a simple matter of offering additional days a la carte, at a high enough rate to make it interesting for the insurer, and sold online so the extra coverage can be bought at 3am if needed. The weather might be VFR, but is it at the pilot's personal comfort level? If the weather were sufficiently uncomfortable for the pilot, it would exceed the pilots discomfort of flying uninsured the next day.. which amounts to less risk (but more risk on the other side of the line). Finding that line is like splitting hairs, so moving on... Would the pilot feel the pressure to fly if it is below his comfort level even though legal? The risk that an entry level pilot would accept weather that does not satisfy their personal minimum is already assumed in the initial figure. The corner cases where discontinuity of coverage is the only pressuring factor could be accounted for with an increased premium. Does the weekend IFR rated pilot really feel comfortable shooting the approach to minimums when it has been maybe years since he had to do so, even though he is legally current? If not, that pilot is more prone to make mistakes than the pilot who flies much more frequently or even daily. I'm already factoring sparsity of experience in the premium, even in the annual policy - otherwise experienced pilots would be pulling the weight of entry-level pilots, which I doubt is the case. BTW, the legality of the flight has absolutely nothing to due with insurance coverage. Unlike the state DMV, the FAA does not require insurance to register an aircraft or exercise pilot privileges. Thanks for confirming that.. I looked through part 91 earlier and didn't see it. The daily pilot doesn't worry about being trapped by the weather. He just waits until the next day. He doesn't have the pressure of having to wait until the next weekend. Is this pilot retired? I've been trapped by weather myself, suffering through getmehomeitis, and I wasn't constrained by a discontinous insurance policy. Insurance was a non-issue. And if my insurance were a weekend only policy, it would have been the least of the conflicting interests. So the daily pilot is not as inconvenienced as a weekend pilot, regardless of whether the weekend pilot has daily coverage, or weekend coverage. The weekend policy tells the pilot that if he doesn't get home by midnight Sunday, he is going to either miss an entire week's work or fly without insurance coverage. The daily pilot will miss maybe half a days work if Monday morning is clear and he is only two or three hours away from his destination. The daily pilot has both more experience and less pressure to complete the flight on Sunday than the weekend pilot. Weekend pilots naturally must have a contingency plan if they're doing a weekend cross country. It could even involve buying commercial airfare round trip, or taking a bus, or a rental car. These inconveniences are not eliminated by a daily insurance policy, as the insurance policy does not relieve them of whatever week day obligations they have. If you start making the policy good through Monday, then you just moved the problem from Sunday night to Monday night. Care to go for Tuesday? Might as well go for all seven days and be done with it. I agree. If a pilot is available to fly on all those days, a weekend policy would be a poor choice for that pilot. If the weekend pilot is willing to fly Monday with no insurance coverage, why does he even bother with insurance at all, especially if he is not flying every weekend. He may be willing to accept small, infrequent measured risks in extenuating cases, but not a full year of risk. Motorcyclists who wear a helmet might occasionally get in a pinch and not have a helmet with them (or give their only to an unexpected passenger), and be willing to go a couple miles w/out a helmet. But asking them to do this all year long is quite a different matter. Just get "hull not in motion" coverage to protect against ground damage caused by someone else while the aircraft is parked in its tie down. Ah, even simpler! -- PM instructions: caesar cipher the alpha chars in my addy (key = +3). |
#68
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Justin, you are MXing. Everyone here has told you that you aren't going to
find a weekend only policy. http://www.google.com/search?sourcei...raft+Insurance Use that search and if you find one let us know. |
#69
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"Gig 601XL Builder" wrDOTgiaconaATsuddenlink.net wrote in message
... Justin, you are MXing. Everyone here has told you that you aren't going to find a weekend only policy. http://www.google.com/search?sourcei...raft+Insurance Use that search and if you find one let us know. Looking for a weekend-only policy would be similar to asking for 1/3 off because you don't fly it while you sleep, or asking for 97% off because you only fly it 3% of the hours available in a year. The insurance companies are in it for the money. They figure out your likelihood of a claim based on your past. I doubt they will pay an underwriter and actuary to calculate the chances of you having an accident only on a weekend, just because you want to save a few bucks. |
#70
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On 2007-07-17, El Maximo wrote:
"Gig 601XL Builder" wrDOTgiaconaATsuddenlink.net wrote in message ... Looking for a weekend-only policy would be similar to asking for 1/3 off because you don't fly it while you sleep, Even the most extreme pilots who are in the air the most are not PIC during their sleep, which means the annual policy /assumes/ this in their figures. For an insurer to quote an hourly rate on the same group, the risk per unit time would increase, saving the insured nothing. So no, it wouldn't even be close to the same thing in the case of weekend pilots getting a policy that accurately reflects their risk. Some motorcycle policies in cold climate areas cover the full year, but the risk assessment expects riders to only ride in spring/summer/fall. Asking for the pro rata share of winter to be knocked off the premium would actually make the net risk much higher than the cost of it. What's interesting is that bikers will sometimes attach a sidecar just for the winter (usually biker cops), and leverage the insurance during the period it wasn't intended. If that activity were to become popular enough, it would have the long term effect of costing those who winterize their bikes. or asking for 97% off because you only fly it 3% of the hours available in a year. If some pilots were managing to use 100% of the available hours while others were using 3%, and the risk assessment did not accurately account for that difference, then you would have a usable analogy in this case. The insurance companies are in it for the money. They figure out your likelihood of a claim based on your past. I doubt they will pay an underwriter and actuary to calculate the chances of you having an accident only on a weekend, just because you want to save a few bucks. Bingo. Exactly. Good point. They have an obligation to the stockholders / owners to maximize profit (rightly so). So it's not in their interest reduce profit margin to needlessly undercut what little competition there is. -- PM instructions: caesar cipher the alpha chars in my addy (key = +3). |
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