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#72
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I don't disagree with you Dean on the spares issue etc., but as I see
it is you add up the cost of the engine and spares and then the fuel used over 40K hours or so and see where the real $ are. I also don't disagree about two different vintage engines; newer are more efficient, but look at the SFC on a CF6 of about 40K thrust and a CF34 of 9K thrust (same vintage) and I bet the larger engine has the upper hand; maybe not. Good discussion subject and it would be interesting to hear from others who know what they are talking about. Obviously anything I say comes from being around these things, not because I profess to be any kind of authority. Any aircraft turbine engineers out there? Neat thing about aviation is there is always something to be learned. |
#73
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Firstly, all gas turbine rotors-compressor and turbine-are airfoils,
and that's why engine (and airframe) designs don't scale perfectly for aerodynamic performance: air, in effect, has a finite size. All engines are more efficient as the delta between the hot parts and the cold parts increases, per Carnot. That said the primary reason car engines run hotter than before is not because of direct thermal efficiency but for emissions and also because smaller radiators can be used. Large turbines are actually designed to wear themselves in at times as creepage brings the blades out and they ever so slightly lathe themselves down, opening up the stator surface as they do. Active clearance control using bleed air is another nifty feature of big engines. Working against the economics of big fan engines is the fan case being bigger than normal shipping means can handle. Also, a serious FOD, midair, or controller failure resulting in an engine writeoff is a much bigger capital hit:someone has to write a big check. The less the number of engines the greater probability that one engine will fail. However the consequence of one engine failing becomes directly higher. One engine out on a B-52 is a marginal consideration: one engine out on a single turns your mission to worst case recovery (find an airport, off airport landing, ditch, or bailout/eject depending on the aircraft and terrain underneath.) An exception to this rule is the light twin, most of which are really 1 1/2 engine airplanes to start with, and which tend to be flown by hobbyists and part-timers. Statistics show that engine failures in light twins kill more people than engine failures in singles, for a lot of reasons. Cessna, Piper, and Beech knew this since roughly 1960 and their response for 25 years was, buy more liability insurance. When high interest rates in 1986 made the reinsurance market for this untenable, "they could no longer make reciprocating-engine aircraft". ETOPS-Engines Turn Or People Swim! |
#74
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Dean Wilkinson wrote:
The increased fuel efficiency of the 777 engines is not strictly due to their size. They are a newer generation design with very high bypass and advanced FADEC controllers. The 747 engines are an older design. Also, the 777 is a more aerodynamically efficient airplane than the 747. The other big advantage of two engines vs. 4 is cost of ownership in terms of maintenance and spares. Its less expensive to maintain two engines per plane than 4. Also, statistically speaking, the probability of an engine failure per flight hour is lower for the 777 than it is for the 747 since it has fewer engines to fail. Believe it or not... this was demonstrated to me when I worked at Boeing on the 777 development. True, but the probability of losing all of the engines at the same time is greater with only two engines as opposed to four. Matt |
#75
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Statistics show that engine failures in
light twins kill more people than engine failures in singles, My understanding is that this statistic only applies to engine failures that result in accidents. Left out are all the twins that had engine failures and landed safely. |
#76
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![]() True, but the probability of losing all of the engines at the same time is greater with only two engines as opposed to four. Matt Not necessarily... There has never been a historical case of a twin engine jetliner losing both engines at once due to unrelated failures. All twin engine failures have been due to a common cause; fuel starvation being the prime reason. Here are some examples of related engine failures: A four engine 747 had all four engines flame out at the same time when it flew into the ash cloud of Mt. Redoubt in Alaska, and only managed to restart three of them after losing over 10,000 feet of altitude. A four engine Airbus A340 made a dead-stick landing at Lajes in the Azores after running of fuel due to a combination fuel leak and fuel system management problem. A 767 (twin) made an emergency landing in Canada on a drag strip after losing both engines due to a miscalculation during fueling. The probability of an ETOPS plane losing both engines in a single flight due to unrelated failures is extremely remote. That doesn't mean it can never happen, but it is less likely than winning the lottery. |
#77
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In rec.aviation.owning Dean Wilkinson wrote:
True, but the probability of losing all of the engines at the same time is greater with only two engines as opposed to four. Matt Not necessarily... There has never been a historical case of a twin engine jetliner losing both engines at once due to unrelated failures. All twin engine failures have been due to a common cause; fuel starvation being the prime reason. Here are some examples of related engine failures: A four engine 747 had all four engines flame out at the same time when it flew into the ash cloud of Mt. Redoubt in Alaska, and only managed to restart three of them after losing over 10,000 feet of altitude. A four engine Airbus A340 made a dead-stick landing at Lajes in the Azores after running of fuel due to a combination fuel leak and fuel system management problem. A 767 (twin) made an emergency landing in Canada on a drag strip after losing both engines due to a miscalculation during fueling. The probability of an ETOPS plane losing both engines in a single flight due to unrelated failures is extremely remote. That doesn't mean it can never happen, but it is less likely than winning the lottery. Not quite; the probability of all engines failing decreases with the number of engines if all engines have the same probability of failing. Whether or not this will actually happen is highly dependent on the probability of the individual engine failing. Since airline engines tend to be well maintained, and hence the probablity of failure low, one could reasonably say the chances of multiple engine failures (no common cause) is quite remote. However, a friend of mine that spent lots of time in B-52s relates the tale of the time they lost 3 engines (no common cause) during flight and a fourth engine on final getting "that big piece of crap" back on the ground. -- Jim Pennino Remove -spam-sux to reply. |
#78
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Jim,
Please don't reply in such a way as to make it appear that I said something that I did not. It was Matt Whiting that made the comment about losing all engines on a twin being more likely than losing all four. I didn't say that, and I know that is not true. Dean wrote in message ... In rec.aviation.owning Dean Wilkinson wrote: True, but the probability of losing all of the engines at the same time is greater with only two engines as opposed to four. Matt Not necessarily... There has never been a historical case of a twin engine jetliner losing both engines at once due to unrelated failures. All twin engine failures have been due to a common cause; fuel starvation being the prime reason. Here are some examples of related engine failures: A four engine 747 had all four engines flame out at the same time when it flew into the ash cloud of Mt. Redoubt in Alaska, and only managed to restart three of them after losing over 10,000 feet of altitude. A four engine Airbus A340 made a dead-stick landing at Lajes in the Azores after running of fuel due to a combination fuel leak and fuel system management problem. A 767 (twin) made an emergency landing in Canada on a drag strip after losing both engines due to a miscalculation during fueling. The probability of an ETOPS plane losing both engines in a single flight due to unrelated failures is extremely remote. That doesn't mean it can never happen, but it is less likely than winning the lottery. Not quite; the probability of all engines failing decreases with the number of engines if all engines have the same probability of failing. Whether or not this will actually happen is highly dependent on the probability of the individual engine failing. Since airline engines tend to be well maintained, and hence the probablity of failure low, one could reasonably say the chances of multiple engine failures (no common cause) is quite remote. However, a friend of mine that spent lots of time in B-52s relates the tale of the time they lost 3 engines (no common cause) during flight and a fourth engine on final getting "that big piece of crap" back on the ground. -- Jim Pennino Remove -spam-sux to reply. |
#79
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In rec.aviation.owning Dean Wilkinson wrote:
Jim, Please don't reply in such a way as to make it appear that I said something that I did not. It was Matt Whiting that made the comment about losing all engines on a twin being more likely than losing all four. I didn't say that, and I know that is not true. Ummm, I posted a followup to the entire post as received without editing any previous content. The depth of the '' characters at the beginning of the lines should show who said what and my response was to the latest post, i.e. that of Matt Whiting. -- Jim Pennino Remove -spam-sux to reply. |
#80
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