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#11
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In article , Paul J. Adam
writes In message , Dave Eadsforth writes In article , Paul J. Adam writes It costs money, which is in seriously short supply. What will you give up instead? Is it necessary to think of giving up something instead? Funding is finite and the list of desirable items is larger than the money available. Cannot disagree with that - but because of this it is vital to maintain a grasp on which items must retain 100 percent effectiveness If cannon are 'the cost of doing business' for a fighter - a necessary contingency - then the money should be allocated. Is the cannon more or less important than the towed decoys for the DASS? Is the cannon more or less important than ASRAAM integration? Do you fund the cannon before or after fitting ALARM capability? ...and so it goes. Specifically concerning cannon: cannon provide a very fundamental capability - and cheaply. They are there when all else is: used up; failed; inappropriate. Air-to-air and air-to-ground missiles are vulnerable to countermeasures - and you don't know what the enemy might have up his sleeve until he unveils it; so you might experience disappointment at a vital moment. Missiles are also somewhat poor for delivering warnings - the shot tends to go into the target instead of across the bows. And if you want to bring any vehicle (boat/truck) to a halt instead of annihilating it cannon are the only option. Over the last few decades, British defence funding has been dogged by the motto 'there isn't going to be another real war, old chap' but of course wars have a habit of turning up - and then we are stuffed. Add also that the politicians declare that "the UK will only face conflicts in these particular areas" and make cuts accordingly: usually followed by an out-of-area problem which of course HM Forces are expected to deal with anyway. Indeed - and flexibility is key in such situations. During the Falklands we had ships that were wired up with cable that gave off toxic fumes when it burned, and the men had overalls of man- made fibre that shrunk nicely onto the body when close to a fire. And as for the prospect of ships being attacked by more than one aircraft at a time - couldn't possibly happen. Close defence? Lord 'what's a Vulcan cannon' Chalfont didn't have much to offer when questioned on the subject. I can offer quite a few modern examples: the problem keeps coming down to funding. Better some capability than no capability: other shortfalls can hopefully be closed by UOR. Agreed some capability better than none, but it is no good having a weapon system that is 80 percent as good as the enemy's - if it is to be deployed it must be 100 percent as good if not better, and the savings can come from elsewhere. The forces should not have to blunt their teeth - that is a terrible and dangerous option. Until "screwing up defence" becomes an election issue, it's not a problem for our lords and masters: and until then it's easy to keep squeezing defence in the sacred name of Schoolsandhospitals. Yes, and the mishandling of the Iraq situation does not help the case for 100 percent forces that are ready for anything if such forces are perceived to be vulnerable to 'misuse' (Personal view: Never mind the WMD - I'd have invaded Iraq if the Iraqi consul had double parked in Kensington...) All such defects can be guaranteed to have been foreseen - and the warnings filtered out by a staffing system under pressure from the Treasury. We have the competence to avoid these traps, we just lack a coherent vision at the top. Not even that; we just have a political class accustomed to a "can do" attitude from the Forces, and too much experience of getting results despite repeated cuts. I can only agree with that too - they are better than the politicians deserve. I spent years working alongside the military and I know their private thoughts on such matters - but regrettably cannot reproduce them here. Cheers, Dave -- Dave Eadsforth |
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On Mon, 10 May 2004 00:16:44 +0100, Paul J. Adam wrote:
In message , Dave Eadsforth writes In article , Paul J. Adam writes It costs money, which is in seriously short supply. What will you give up instead? Is it necessary to think of giving up something instead? Funding is finite and the list of desirable items is larger than the money available. If cannon are 'the cost of doing business' for a fighter - a necessary contingency - then the money should be allocated. Is the cannon more or less important than the towed decoys for the DASS? Is the cannon more or less important than ASRAAM integration? Do you fund the cannon before or after fitting ALARM capability? ...and so it goes. I can think of several purchases the MoD has made in recent years which didn't represent value for money (IMO) and which together would have saved more than enough to fund Typhoon fully: 1. funding development of F-35, cost: GBP 2 bn. This is a US plane and Britain doesn't get any significant control over the program. It's quite likely the Americans will only sell us a second-rate version without full stealth capabilities. Better would have been to wait until F-35 is in service and then have a competition with it and other carrier-borne fighter-bombers. 2. development of Boxer/MRAV, cost GBP ??? m. There was really no need to fund development of a new 8x8 vehicle -- plenty exist already, and automotive technology is mature, thus only incremental improvements could be expected over what already exists. It's even more of a waste of money, since the UK has withdrawn from the programme. 3. FCLV (Future Command and Liaison Vehicle), cost: GBP 200 m. This is a light truck, it looks like an over-sized land rover (there's a picture at http://www.zen19725.zen.co.uk/weblog/art_222.html). Britain is buying 400 of themv at over GBP 400,000 each, or about 20 times the cost of the land rovers they'll be replacing. I dare say it's a good vehicle, but is it really worth 20 times more than a land rover? I don't think so. 4. Apache. cost: GBP 2.5 bn. attack helicopters are over-rated, and would probably suffer terrible casualties against an opponent well armed with HMGs, autocannon, and man-portable SAMs. 5. Poodling for Bush, cost: GBP ??? bn. Britain's involvement in the invasion of Iraq was political, designed to cloth the American invasion with a veneer of multilateral respectability. A much smaller force, say a single brigade, or just a battalion, would have served this politcal end just as well. I'm sure the USA would have cocked up the occupation just as badly without British involvement. That lot's probably about 10 billion quid altogether, which would pay for a few Eurofighters, and would mean the MoD wouldn't have to be scraping for savings on not using the guns. I can offer quite a few modern examples: the problem keeps coming down to funding. Does it though? There are countries that sped less on their military than the UK, but seem to get better value than us. Consider Sweden, for example. This country has a per capita GDP about the same as Britain's, and spends a similar proportion of GDP on its armed forces (2.5 % for Britian, 2% for Sweden). Imagine if Sweden and Britian had a land border and were hostile towards each other; who would win? Sweden could mobilise a larger army, and would probably get air supertiority quite quickly, since Britain doesn't currently have an air superiority fighter. Now consider that Sweden's population is *one seventh* of the UK's -- why doesn't Britain have a more capable military than such a small country? One reason is the Royal Navy, another is Breitisan's cabability to deploy forces overseas without full mobilisation, but I don't swee how these together make up the whole discrepency. Judging by the programmes I've listed above, the MoD seems to be remarkably insouciant about value for money. Better some capability than no capability: other shortfalls can hopefully be closed by UOR. Until "screwing up defence" becomes an election issue, it's not a problem for our lords and masters: and until then it's easy to keep squeezing defence in the sacred name of Schoolsandhospitals. Having a decent education system is a pre-requisite to having a powerful military: ignorant people can't design weapons, they are harder to train as soldiers, and they don't provide the economic foundation to fund any of these things. -- "It's easier to find people online who openly support the KKK than people who openly support the RIAA" -- comment on Wikipedia (Email: zen19725 at zen dot co dot uk) |
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On Mon, 10 May 2004 18:25:42 +0100, Dave Eadsforth wrote:
Air-to-air and air-to-ground missiles are vulnerable to countermeasures - and you don't know what the enemy might have up his sleeve until he unveils it; so you might experience disappointment at a vital moment. Missiles are also somewhat poor for delivering warnings - the shot tends to go into the target instead of across the bows. And if you want to bring any vehicle (boat/truck) to a halt instead of annihilating it cannon are the only option. I'd add that people have thought guns on aircraft were useless before, and have ended up re-instating them. -- "It's easier to find people online who openly support the KKK than people who openly support the RIAA" -- comment on Wikipedia (Email: zen19725 at zen dot co dot uk) |
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In message , phil hunt
writes On Mon, 10 May 2004 00:16:44 +0100, Paul J. Adam news@jrwly nch.demon.co.uk wrote: ...and so it goes. I can think of several purchases the MoD has made in recent years which didn't represent value for money (IMO) and which together would have saved more than enough to fund Typhoon fully: Of course. Naturally, procurement authorities are fully prescient. I can offer quite a few modern examples: the problem keeps coming down to funding. Does it though? Yes. Defence is not a vote-winner: being able to boast about how much you spent on the sacred schoolsandhospitals is. There are countries that sped less on their military than the UK, but seem to get better value than us. Consider Sweden, for example. This country has a per capita GDP about the same as Britain's, and spends a similar proportion of GDP on its armed forces (2.5 % for Britian, 2% for Sweden). Imagine if Sweden and Britian had a land border and were hostile towards each other; who would win? Sweden, easily, because nobody expects Sweden to be able to fight out of area, maintain a blue-water navy, have credible amphibious forces that can deploy outside home waters... life is easy when you only have to fight at home. Now, if Sweden felt it necessary to put a battalion of troops into the People's Republick of Uckfay Ouyay to get their people out alive ahead of the revolution... how would they do that? -- When you have to kill a man, it costs nothing to be polite. W S Churchill Paul J. Adam MainBoxatjrwlynch[dot]demon{dot}co(.)uk |
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In message , Dave Eadsforth
writes In article , Paul J. Adam writes Funding is finite and the list of desirable items is larger than the money available. Cannot disagree with that - but because of this it is vital to maintain a grasp on which items must retain 100 percent effectiveness And which are less crucial. Is the cannon more or less important than the towed decoys for the DASS? Is the cannon more or less important than ASRAAM integration? Do you fund the cannon before or after fitting ALARM capability? ...and so it goes. Specifically concerning cannon: cannon provide a very fundamental capability - and cheaply. They are there when all else is: used up; failed; inappropriate. They're also short-ranged, inaccurate, bloody hard to use... Air-to-air and air-to-ground missiles are vulnerable to countermeasures So is the gun - you're using a gunsight that depends on range and rate input from the radar. The enemy screws with your radar, he screws with your gun solution. Or you can spray'n'pray with a fixed reticule or a basic gyro sight - with not many rounds. It can be done, it used to be the rule, but it needs a lot of skill and practice (for which read money) and it has an extremely limited firing envelope compared to modern weapons. Chop the gun and you'll *guarantee* that there'll be a time when some pilot needed it and didn't have it. Can't argue with that. But there's only so much money: what do you tell the families of the pilots killed because the DASS was cut back / the ground troops told that "sorry, Brimstone was less important than the gun"... I'd prefer to keep the capability myself: but it's less essential than some of the other possible cuts. - and you don't know what the enemy might have up his sleeve until he unveils it; There's an old rule of bayonet fighting: the guy with the last bullet wins. If the enemy still has one missile and you're down to guns, you're in the kimchi. (And having a gun and the training to use it isn't much use against an incoming AAM or SAM) Missiles are also somewhat poor for delivering warnings - the shot tends to go into the target instead of across the bows. Trouble is, for combat use you don't want tracers (which warn the enemy they're under fire). But with no tracers, how do they know they're being shot at? The warnings that you've been intercepted are clear, promulgated by the ICAO and don't require a cannon. And if you want to bring any vehicle (boat/truck) to a halt instead of annihilating it cannon are the only option. 27mm high-explosive cannon shells, arriving twenty or thirty a second, are not reliably able to "bring vehicles to a halt". Trouble is, they aren't reliably able to stop them either. Back during Viet Nam, the US armed gunship aircraft with 7.62mm miniguns and 20mm cannon; evolution was rapid, as air defences meant higher standoff altitudes and the gunships moved from close support to interdiction. The AC-130s went from .30" and 20mm batteries, to 20mm and 40mm, to discovering that even 20mm wasn't an effective truck killer, and ended up with a mixed battery of 25mm, 40mm and 105mm(!) Add also that the politicians declare that "the UK will only face conflicts in these particular areas" and make cuts accordingly: usually followed by an out-of-area problem which of course HM Forces are expected to deal with anyway. Indeed - and flexibility is key in such situations. 'Flexibility' for aircraft translates to payload, which can be turned into fuel or ordnance. One wonders how the Sea Harriers would have fared during the Falklands had they been able to trade their ADEN gun pods for more Sidewinders (like the twin-rail launcher that would have doubled their offence) and most especially more fuel to let them have more time on station. I can offer quite a few modern examples: the problem keeps coming down to funding. Better some capability than no capability: other shortfalls can hopefully be closed by UOR. Agreed some capability better than none, but it is no good having a weapon system that is 80 percent as good as the enemy's - Tell that to any tank crewman who took a M4 Sherman against a SS Panzer unit. Or any pilot who was flying a P-51 or Tempest where Me262s were expected. Being "better" only counts if you can bring that advantage fully to bear. To be controversial, the US Army's Rangers clearly and completely outclassed the Somali militiamen in 1993 - but who retreated and who was left running the country? if it is to be deployed it must be 100 percent as good if not better, and the savings can come from elsewhere. What will you give up to pay for keeping the Typhoon crews fully trained in air-to-air and air-to-ground gunnery? Be specific and stick to the remit of the relevant IPT for the required savings. Where will you find the money through the life of the aircraft? The forces should not have to blunt their teeth - that is a terrible and dangerous option. That's what the politicians demand and the electorate approves. Until the voters protest, the politicians will keep on slicing. -- When you have to kill a man, it costs nothing to be polite. W S Churchill Paul J. Adam MainBoxatjrwlynch[dot]demon{dot}co(.)uk |
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In message , phil hunt
writes I'd add that people have thought guns on aircraft were useless before, and have ended up re-instating them. Folk have thought horsed cavalry with sabres obsolete, and reinstated them - or not. (It's worth remembering that one 2Lt George S. Patton wrote the US Army's last sabre manual-of-arms... but failed to keep horse cavalry close to the front, and didn't push for the issue of sabres to all troops, when he was a commander in WW2) You'd certainly like to keep the gun if all else was funded: but when the budget axe falls, what will you give up before you sacrifice the gun? -- When you have to kill a man, it costs nothing to be polite. W S Churchill Paul J. Adam MainBoxatjrwlynch[dot]demon{dot}co(.)uk |
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In article , phil hunt
writes On Mon, 10 May 2004 00:16:44 +0100, Paul J. Adam wrote: In message , Dave Eadsforth writes In article , Paul J. Adam writes It costs money, which is in seriously short supply. What will you give up instead? Is it necessary to think of giving up something instead? Funding is finite and the list of desirable items is larger than the money available. If cannon are 'the cost of doing business' for a fighter - a necessary contingency - then the money should be allocated. Is the cannon more or less important than the towed decoys for the DASS? Is the cannon more or less important than ASRAAM integration? Do you fund the cannon before or after fitting ALARM capability? ...and so it goes. I can think of several purchases the MoD has made in recent years which didn't represent value for money (IMO) and which together would have saved more than enough to fund Typhoon fully: 1. funding development of F-35, cost: GBP 2 bn. This is a US plane and Britain doesn't get any significant control over the program. It's quite likely the Americans will only sell us a second-rate version without full stealth capabilities. Better would have been to wait until F-35 is in service and then have a competition with it and other carrier-borne fighter-bombers. 2. development of Boxer/MRAV, cost GBP ??? m. There was really no need to fund development of a new 8x8 vehicle -- plenty exist already, and automotive technology is mature, thus only incremental improvements could be expected over what already exists. It's even more of a waste of money, since the UK has withdrawn from the programme. 3. FCLV (Future Command and Liaison Vehicle), cost: GBP 200 m. This is a light truck, it looks like an over-sized land rover (there's a picture at http://www.zen19725.zen.co.uk/weblog/art_222.html). Britain is buying 400 of themv at over GBP 400,000 each, or about 20 times the cost of the land rovers they'll be replacing. I dare say it's a good vehicle, but is it really worth 20 times more than a land rover? I don't think so. 4. Apache. cost: GBP 2.5 bn. attack helicopters are over-rated, and would probably suffer terrible casualties against an opponent well armed with HMGs, autocannon, and man-portable SAMs. 5. Poodling for Bush, cost: GBP ??? bn. Britain's involvement in the invasion of Iraq was political, designed to cloth the American invasion with a veneer of multilateral respectability. A much smaller force, say a single brigade, or just a battalion, would have served this politcal end just as well. I'm sure the USA would have cocked up the occupation just as badly without British involvement. That lot's probably about 10 billion quid altogether, which would pay for a few Eurofighters, and would mean the MoD wouldn't have to be scraping for savings on not using the guns. I can offer quite a few modern examples: the problem keeps coming down to funding. Does it though? There are countries that sped less on their military than the UK, but seem to get better value than us. Consider Sweden, for example. This country has a per capita GDP about the same as Britain's, and spends a similar proportion of GDP on its armed forces (2.5 % for Britian, 2% for Sweden). Imagine if Sweden and Britian had a land border and were hostile towards each other; who would win? Sweden could mobilise a larger army, and would probably get air supertiority quite quickly, since Britain doesn't currently have an air superiority fighter. Now consider that Sweden's population is *one seventh* of the UK's -- why doesn't Britain have a more capable military than such a small country? One reason is the Royal Navy, another is Breitisan's cabability to deploy forces overseas without full mobilisation, but I don't swee how these together make up the whole discrepency. Judging by the programmes I've listed above, the MoD seems to be remarkably insouciant about value for money. Better some capability than no capability: other shortfalls can hopefully be closed by UOR. Until "screwing up defence" becomes an election issue, it's not a problem for our lords and masters: and until then it's easy to keep squeezing defence in the sacred name of Schoolsandhospitals. Having a decent education system is a pre-requisite to having a powerful military: ignorant people can't design weapons, they are harder to train as soldiers, and they don't provide the economic foundation to fund any of these things. You have touched on a philosophic point here. At present, the British government believes that you can recruit soldiers as required, use them, and after a number of years shove them back into a society that has little understanding of either soldiering or the diplomatic realities that justify its existence. It has always been true that an army reflects the society from which it springs - and Britain should ponder the implications of that. All professions benefit from recruiting from a pool of people who understand the role of that profession and are motivated to join it. So, when Britain recruits its military forces mainly from the dole queue, which has been the case for a long time now, what will be the result? Well, better than you might expect. While many priceless NCOs have taken early departure, the training system remains intact, so the recruits do get a solid foundation - unless they are headed for a a non- combatant role in which case the soldiering capability will be 'thin'. While we still develop a clutch of outstanding soldiers we have to cope with the fact that the average recruit still lacks the depth of skill, understanding and commitment of his counterpart of a few decades ago. So, at present, the Home Office wants the population to act like sheep, the Politically Correct want the population to act like amoebas, and the Foreign Office would like a credible military posture. These cannot be reconciled. We need some leadership here; leadership that cope with the rough edge that the British can often present, but I'm afraid that the mediocre lawyers who inhabit the higher layers of government are poorly placed to supply it. I yearn for a reincarnated Earnest Bevin, but I suspect that that is out of the question. Cheers, Dave -- Dave Eadsforth |
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On Tue, 11 May 2004 00:18:02 +0100, Dave Eadsforth wrote:
You have touched on a philosophic point here. At present, the British government believes that you can recruit soldiers as required, use them, and after a number of years shove them back into a society that has little understanding of either soldiering Soldiering is like any other job, you don't have much understanding of it until you've done it. I don't really see how that could not be the case. or the diplomatic realities that justify its existence. It has always been true that an army reflects the society from which it springs - and Britain should ponder the implications of that. Which are? All professions benefit from recruiting from a pool of people who understand the role of that profession and are motivated to join it. So, when Britain recruits its military forces mainly from the dole queue, which has been the case for a long time now, what will be the result? Well, better than you might expect. While many priceless NCOs have taken early departure, the training system remains intact, so the recruits do get a solid foundation - unless they are headed for a a non- combatant role in which case the soldiering capability will be 'thin'. While we still develop a clutch of outstanding soldiers we have to cope with the fact that the average recruit still lacks the depth of skill, understanding and commitment of his counterpart of a few decades ago. So, at present, the Home Office wants the population to act like sheep, the Politically Correct want the population to act like amoebas, and the Foreign Office would like a credible military posture. I'm not sure what you're getting at here. -- "It's easier to find people online who openly support the KKK than people who openly support the RIAA" -- comment on Wikipedia (Email: zen19725 at zen dot co dot uk) |
#20
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On Mon, 10 May 2004 22:46:52 +0100, ess (phil
hunt) wrote: snip 3. FCLV (Future Command and Liaison Vehicle), cost: GBP 200 m. This is a light truck, it looks like an over-sized land rover (there's a picture at http://www.zen19725.zen.co.uk/weblog/art_222.html). Britain is buying 400 of themv at over GBP 400,000 each, or about 20 times the cost of the land rovers they'll be replacing. I dare say it's a good vehicle, but is it really worth 20 times more than a land rover? I don't think so. (Apologies for the late response, and a bit off topic but...) FCLV replaces the Ferret scout car which, as it has been out of service for over a decade, has seen it's roles temporarily filled by a variety of vehicles including Land Rovers, CVR(T) and Saxon. FCLV is in no way a replacement for the Land Rover - I wish it was as the MoD would be buying thousands of them. Also, the contract for 401 vehicles is worth GBP125m and includes some support costs, putting each FCLV at less than GBP 315,000. Alex Walton ---- Royal Navy & Fleet Air Arm pages: http://www.btinternet.com/~a.c.walton/navy/navy.html ---- |
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