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#12
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"Mike Rapoport" wrote:
I believe that the reason that airplanes have appreciated is that the older ones have been, for all practical purposes, equal to the new ones. With the advent of the glass cockpit, his is no longer true. I don't agree that the glass cockpits add a tremendous amount of real value over old instruments combined with an MFD. Consider the experience of Cirrus Designs, which believed, naively, it turned out, that glass cockpits would make their airplanes notably safer than older designs. The only thing I find really exciting about the new designs is the electronic AHRS which finally supplants the old pneumatic gyros. Sheer pizzazz is selling new glass cockpit airplanes now, but when they get old enough for the used market, it's uncertain that they will command a large premium. Will prices of used 2003 Skylanes be depressed $50K vs. 2004 ones? It's hard for me to picture myself paying that kind of premium for just the pretty boxes. -- Dan C172RG at BFM (remove pants to reply by email) |
#13
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Cessna sold out an entire years 182 and 206 production in one hour following
the announcement that they would have the G1000. That tells me that people desire glass cockpits. You should also know that the glass cockpits are cheaper than the analog gauges that they replace. I would hate to be the guy who bought the last non-glass 182. Mike MU-2 "Dan Luke" wrote in message ... "Mike Rapoport" wrote: I believe that the reason that airplanes have appreciated is that the older ones have been, for all practical purposes, equal to the new ones. With the advent of the glass cockpit, his is no longer true. I don't agree that the glass cockpits add a tremendous amount of real value over old instruments combined with an MFD. Consider the experience of Cirrus Designs, which believed, naively, it turned out, that glass cockpits would make their airplanes notably safer than older designs. The only thing I find really exciting about the new designs is the electronic AHRS which finally supplants the old pneumatic gyros. Sheer pizzazz is selling new glass cockpit airplanes now, but when they get old enough for the used market, it's uncertain that they will command a large premium. Will prices of used 2003 Skylanes be depressed $50K vs. 2004 ones? It's hard for me to picture myself paying that kind of premium for just the pretty boxes. -- Dan C172RG at BFM (remove pants to reply by email) |
#14
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Yes, but Cessna also cut their production in half this year. Also, it's the
dealers that are buying these. If you look on the various aircraft for sale websites, you'll see that the dealers are advertising them as available. So, it remains to be seen exactly how fast they will be snatched up. Although, I'd tend to believe that they'll go quickly. "Mike Rapoport" wrote in message link.net... Cessna sold out an entire years 182 and 206 production in one hour following the announcement that they would have the G1000. That tells me that people desire glass cockpits. You should also know that the glass cockpits are cheaper than the analog gauges that they replace. I would hate to be the guy who bought the last non-glass 182. Mike MU-2 "Dan Luke" wrote in message ... "Mike Rapoport" wrote: I believe that the reason that airplanes have appreciated is that the older ones have been, for all practical purposes, equal to the new ones. With the advent of the glass cockpit, his is no longer true. I don't agree that the glass cockpits add a tremendous amount of real value over old instruments combined with an MFD. Consider the experience of Cirrus Designs, which believed, naively, it turned out, that glass cockpits would make their airplanes notably safer than older designs. The only thing I find really exciting about the new designs is the electronic AHRS which finally supplants the old pneumatic gyros. Sheer pizzazz is selling new glass cockpit airplanes now, but when they get old enough for the used market, it's uncertain that they will command a large premium. Will prices of used 2003 Skylanes be depressed $50K vs. 2004 ones? It's hard for me to picture myself paying that kind of premium for just the pretty boxes. -- Dan C172RG at BFM (remove pants to reply by email) |
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Go on......
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"Dan Luke" wrote I don't agree that the glass cockpits add a tremendous amount of real value over old instruments combined with an MFD. Consider the experience of Cirrus Designs, which believed, naively, it turned out, that glass cockpits would make their airplanes notably safer than older designs. The only thing I find really exciting about the new designs is the electronic AHRS which finally supplants the old pneumatic gyros. Sheer pizzazz is selling new glass cockpit airplanes now, but when they get old enough for the used market, it's uncertain that they will command a large premium. Will prices of used 2003 Skylanes be depressed $50K vs. 2004 ones? It's hard for me to picture myself paying that kind of premium for just the pretty boxes. -- It may, in the long run, not matter about "real value." "Perceived value" might move the market. Think how many times the threads about VORs going the way of the NDB have been posted in the rec.aviation.* newsgroups. Gig G |
#17
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I bought a cherokee (180hp) after I solo'd (then had to get signed
off and solo again because I'd solo'd in a cessna). Reduced considerably the four conditions to fly 1) my schedule 2) instructor schedule 3) weather 4) aircraft schedule One of my big problems in training was the scheduling. With my own aircraft, #1 and 4 became irrelevant. As much as I'd like faster or 2 engines, the cherokee is just fine for 90% of my flying. |
#18
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Kyler Laird wrote in message ...
unicate (Shirley) writes: I wasn't specific in my other post, but am asking for advice, suggestions, cautions, tips on the airplanes themselves -- what to look for, what to avoid, red flags, etc. Take a look at previous threads on the topic. There are several. I started my Private with the intention of just boring holes in the sky when I was a kid. When I finally got serious about it, I bought a twin and finished. I fly because it allows me to make trips I couldn't make otherwise. It's very rare that I make a flight that I could have reasonably made in a "trainer" (or even in a "step-up" plane like an Arrow or C-182). I think it's important to decide early whether you're going to eventually want something more than a "trainer". If so, do you really want to buy a trainer for your primary instruction? If you do, think *hard* about resale value and don't go nuts on avionics. Also consider how your experience is going to look to an insurer. (It might make more sense to get a low-end retractable now if you're going to want insurance for a retractable later.) Long-range insurance planning can make a *big* difference. I have to disagree here. The best advice I was given before I purchased my first airplane was "Buy for the next 5 years...not the next 30". I know quite a few people around the airport who bought expensive 'touring' planes (A-36s or Barons) that just sit on the tarmac because they cost $200 an hour to fly. They bought them with the intention of flying them on long trips etc., but they almost never fly them because it sosts too much to bore holes in the sky, and unless you bore holes in the sky, you aren't current enough to handle a Bone. Since the original poster is just finishing their private license, for the next 2 or 3 years (at least) they will be working on their instrument ticket, their Commercial ticket...stuff that requires hours, and for these things, an hour in a $30/hour 152 is the same as an hour in a $150/hr A36. Since planes like this don't depreciate much (if at all), then all that will be lost by buying a cheaper, small plane to train in is the opportunity cost of the money, which right now isn't all that much and interest expenses, which are more than outweighed by the cost savings of owning a plane that you fly 125 hours per year. If I was in this persons shoes, I'd go out and buy a $25,000-$35,000 four seater. A 1960s vintage 172, or a Beech Musketeer. You get much more functionality out of it that you would a two seater, and the operating costs are not that much higher. Both of these planes are inexpensive to operate and own, and will certainly do for training, local flight and XCs of less than about 400 NM. This is basically what I did do myself, altho I waited until I finished my private license to buy it. A couple friends and I bought a 1963 Beech Musketeer for $26,000 and flew the heck out of it. I did my instrument and commercial training it it, and some of my CFI. Took it all over...we put over 500 hours on it the first year we owned it. And it eneded up being *much* cheaper than renting one of the FBOs beater 172s. While they wanted $72 an hour for a 172, the fully loaded costs of the Musketeer over almost 3 years came out to be right around $47 per hour, wet, including some fairly expensive maintenence items. Right there, that saved me thousands of dollars. After you use this plane to get your license, *then* decide if you need something more. I'm buying another plane like this (sold my Musketeer to a club for a very tidey profit and a membership in the club). The Club has a nice touring plane (A Cessna 206) and may be getting a twin. Given that I need these planes maybe 5 times a year for longer trips, it makes more sense for me to own a 'cheap' plane (i.e. a $40 per hour 172 or Musketeer) and fly the club plane (at $80 or $125 an hour) than to own a more expensive plane. Different strokes for different folks tho, so this is just my two cents worth Cheers, Cap It might be quite a bit better in the long run to go somewhere else (like an intensive course?) to finish your Private and just save for the plane you really want. It *could* even work to get *that* plane for your primary instruction because insurance will probably require a bunch of dual in it anyway. (You won't hear many people advising that you get a high-performance retract for primary training. I'm just saying that you should consider it.) Bottom line...decide what you're likely to want out of your plane before you start looking at buying one, then learn about the possibilities for *your* situation. --kyler |
#19
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Where did you get your Musketeer? Is there enough of these around still for
second hand purchases? Richard "dlevy" wrote in message ... I bought a Musketeer at the exact same time in training. It has worked out well for me. I finished up my training and still own and enjoy the plane four years later. "Shirley" wrote in message ... Thanks. Good advice. I have my medical, have taken and passed the written and have done the initial training and soloed in a Cessna 150. Made the decision to stop flying that airplane due to unresolved maintenance issues. Still have to do the x-countries, hood work and finish the solo time. Have independent CFI friends but no airplane, and not comfortable picking a random school/CFI. I wasn't specific in my other post, but am asking for advice, suggestions, cautions, tips on the airplanes themselves -- what to look for, what to avoid, red flags, etc. |
#20
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